Is the Real Push Into Russia Still Coming?
The UAF might decided to capitalize on their success.
We have conflicting reports, as usual, coming out of Kursk. ZAnon propaganda is apparently still claiming that there are only 600 UAF troops in Russia and that this is a terrorist raid. In contrast, I’ve shared reports that there might be around 10k UAF troops in Kursk now. Some say that the push has already been beaten back. Others say that they’re still advancing and that there is another build-up occurring at the adjacent border. Here:
Kursk direction: situation as of 23:00 10.08.24...
Unfortunately, there is no good news again. Driving the enemy out of Martynovka, with which today started, was our only successful operation today.
Then the enemy advanced again. Unfortunately, the data on the Ukrainian Armed Forces' entry into Makhnovka was confirmed. Now we have objective control data on this. This means that tomorrow we may finally lose Sudzha.
[NOTE: They already lost 95% of it]
But the bad news in this area does not end there. There is also information that the enemy was seen in the settlement of Giri. Moreover, not a sabotage and reconnaissance group, but infantry riding on heavy equipment. If this is so, then the enemy is deeply enveloping our group in Sudzha and preparing a bridgehead for moving south and east. Unfortunately, we do not yet see a particularly dense battle formation here, and the enemy has a lot of reserves.
Also, according to our intelligence, the enemy has already brought units of four brigades into our territory and, despite heavy losses, its numbers are only growing here.
Despite the fact that we managed to repel the attack on Cherkasskoye Porechnoye today, his attack on Malaya Loknya was successful. And tomorrow he will probably try to build on his success here.
The enemy is also gradually mastering the approaches to Korenevo. In the evening, his forces entered the settlement of Krasnooktyabrskoye. Which, together with the threat from Glukhov, makes the position of our forces in the Glushkovsky district very risky (they can quickly be cut off from the rest of the forces).
In addition, the enemy's sabotage and reconnaissance groups have been intensively working in the area southwest of Rylsk, which indicates that a strike by the Ukrainian Armed Forces from Glukhov may occur in the very near future.
That is, we see that the situation continues to rapidly deteriorate. And I personally do not understand what those who say that victory is already close are counting on. As far as I understand the situation, for the next few days we will mostly be on the defensive. God willing, we will be successful.
We keep our fingers crossed for the guys and pray for them.
There may have been another breakthrough along the border that occurred 12 hours ago.
Trusted comrades write to us from Belovsky district, Kursk region, which our comrades (https://t.me/dva_majors/49390) in the region report from. A breakthrough of several dozen kilometers, they are moving on a wide front. Everything around Bely is occupied by the enemy. The hospital in the area was shot by tanks. Fighting can be heard in Oboyan
Even Kremlin-adjacent spook shillbag channels like Rybar confirm that this is just the beginning and that the offensive has not stopped. Here:
🇷🇺🇺🇦 On dangerous illusions about the offensive capabilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
As the situation in the Kursk region becomes relatively stable, one might get the impression that the offensive potential of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this direction has dried up, and that it will not be difficult to dislodge them from the captured border settlements.
However, this is wrong and quite dangerous. In addition, there is a certain set of characteristic signs that indirectly indicate that the main blow of the Ukrainian formations is still ahead.
▪️The enemy's force concentrations near the Russian border have not gone away, and the likelihood of a new offensive remains. Moreover, relatively large troop movements have been noticed in the Ukrainian rear, which are usually observed during the formation of groups.
▪️The promised debut of the transferred American F-16 fighters has also not happened yet, and it is highly likely that the Ukrainian command is protecting them for a reason. The version is supported by the fact that the Kiev regime has recently made large purchases of aviation fuel with delivery by September.
▪️During previous major offensives, the Ukrainian Armed Forces each time carried out two strikes: in 2022 in the Kherson and Kharkov directions, and in 2023 in Artemovsk and Zaporizhzhya. Therefore, it is possible that now the enemy will try to attack again, taking advantage of the transfer of reinforcements of the Russian Armed Forces from other areas.
From a military point of view, such plans may raise questions. However, if we very carefully assume that the Kiev regime really wants to negotiate by the end of the year under pressure from its Western sponsors, then it clearly needs some negotiating cards for this.
The seizure of territories of the "old" Russian regions fits into this logic, as do the attempts to land (https://t.me/rybar/62603) on Kinburn and Tendrovska Spit to create a threat to communications in Crimea. This is exactly what Ukrainian formations are doing right now.
❗️Therefore, it is too early to relax. Yes, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are in many ways not what they were in 2022, but the enemy has not yet lost its offensive capabilities.
[Lol, yeah right]
Happiness and hasty conclusions that there is no one left to fight for the so-called Ukraine lead to sad consequences like those we observed in the border area a few days earlier.
And then we have the Western press confirming the UAF gains as well. The Black Colonel commented on the WSJ reports here:
The authoritative American daily newspaper "The Wall Street Journal" yesterday, August 10, published a lengthy article entitled "As Ukrainian troops seize Russian territory, the Kremlin claims there is nothing to worry about." Here's what The Wall Street Journal wrote, and here are just a few excerpts from the article:
...The Ukrainian attack on the Kursk region raises questions about Russia's military capabilities and where Putin's 'red lines' really lie.
In the five days since Ukrainian troops entered the Kursk region, at least 76,000 Russian civilians have fled the fighting, some of them seen racing in shrapnel-riddled cars. A tent city for refugees has been set up in the regional capital.
The Ukrainian assault, the first major foreign military incursion into Russian territory since World War II, caught Moscow by surprise. Kiev troops advanced at least 20 miles from the border and raised the Ukrainian flag in the town of Sudzha.
Videos posted online showed a convoy of Russian reinforcements suffering heavy casualties near another city, Rylsk, and Ukrainian troops released footage of more than a hundred Russian prisoners. According to Russian military analysts, at least three Russian attack helicopters were shot down.
Meanwhile, Russian television and Kremlin statements have portrayed the turbulent events of recent days as almost routine, and Ukrainian troops are routinely referred to as “saboteurs” who are “trying” to invade. President Vladimir Putin has called the advance of Ukrainian armored units “another large-scale provocation.”
Russian Chief of the General Staff General Valery Gerasimov said that no more than 1,000 Ukrainian troops were participating in the operation. The Russian Defense Ministry later announced the deaths of 1,120 Ukrainian troops, prompting mockery of the defense ministry by Russian nationalist bloggers.
On Friday, the Russian government called the actions in the border regions of Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod a “counterterrorism operation,” giving them the same legal status as law enforcement actions against Islamist extremist groups in the North Caucasus.
This puts the fighting on the Ukrainian border under the overall command of the FSB, not the military.
It was the wave of public outrage over the conduct of the military conflict and Russian combat losses that led to the most serious challenge to Putin’s rule to date: the brief rebellion of the Wagner paramilitary group led by Yevgeny Prigozhin. Wagner easily took Rostov and advanced toward Moscow with virtually no resistance before the uprising was broken.
Russia appears to have slowed the advance of Ukrainian troops in the Kursk region, but has yet to retake the lost territory. Russian military bloggers reported that Kyiv captured another Russian village, Plekhovo, on Saturday.
"We must take a sober look at this situation... We will not be able to push them out quickly," said State Duma deputy, retired lieutenant general Andrei Gurulev on TV, pointing to the number of advancing Ukrainian units...
...On Saturday, the Russian Emergencies Ministry reported that 76,000 refugees from the affected areas have been registered in the Kursk region, although the total number of civilians who have left their homes is most likely much higher...
After the invasion began, Putin announced that each person displaced from the border zone would be entitled to a one-time payment of 10,000 rubles, or $115, which is a small amount even for Russia...".
And many, many other facts and conclusions that are simply painful to read, since the newspaper of our probable enemy writes the bitter truth, which is very difficult to refute. And all that remains is to recall the famous Chekhov: "This cannot be, because it can never be."
And indeed, not so long ago we believed that such a thing would not happen maybe never
So, who to believe?