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Brunswickian's avatar

My awakening began after the missile attack on Saki, Crimea. I smelt a big fat rat.

The 5D blogosphere had to insist it was Uki Rambo/McGyver effort as everyone knows Rooski air defences are impeccable.

I got booted from The Saker for that little quip. No sense of humor. The Ancient (sub)Mariner rattled on about his expertise in satellite imagery so we could all not believe our lying eyes of the clear missile impacts.

Since then is has all become clearer and I found Strelkov and was amazed to discover that he had been forecasting doom for months. I have to say I agree with Strelkov's darker suspicions. I doubt Russia will be broken up - it isn't necessary as the pillage and plunder will be done by the Russians themselves by way of reparations. Russia will be duly admonished and NATO will have to be retained and boosted because you never know what those dastardly Rooskies will get up to next.

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Shooter 6's avatar

You may be right, or you may be wrong. I suspect you're wrong. Again.

So far, these largely ineffectual drone attacks (by both Russia and Ukraine) are more or less militarily insignificant. The caution to your analyses is: The sustained aerial bombings of London, followed by the first German drone attacks - V1 and V2 rockets - STIFFENED the resolve of the recipients. Similarly, Allied bombing of Germany - while causing enormous damage - did not end WWII. Land armies, seizing German territory and destroying German ground forces, did. Instances of aerial bombing campaigns, even overwhelmingly destructive campaigns throughout history (excepting the nuclear bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki) have produced the same results - psychologically, resistance increases, it does not decrease.

Moscow may be different, but I suspect it is not. While I concede that Moscow and St. Petersburg are not indicative of Russia as a whole, largely populated by more affluent "chattering classes" leaning West - I suggest that just as the repeated drone attacks on Kyiv & Ukraine Proper have had no deleterious effects on Ukrainian morale or their resolve to carry on - so it is likely to be with these largely symbolic attacks on Moscow and the border regions.

While it only takes one side to start a war, it takes all sides to end one. Absent the capability by either side to wage a campaign of total military annihilation, the prospect for an eventual peaceful DMZ between Russian and Ukraine is dim.

"Войны не будет, но в борьбе за мир не останется камня на камне." ("There will be no war, but in the struggle for peace there will be no stone left unturned.”)

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