Wagner's Prigozhin Issues Most Dire Warning Yet Ahead of Ukrainian Counterattack

Abandon all hope.

The full interview where Evgeniy Prigozhin absolutely lambasted Shoigu and the MoD and the Kremlin bureaucracy just came out recently. You can watch it in Russian here. I saw a lot of people talking about it on Twitter and I couldn’t believe what I was reading so I decided to listen to the interview myself, and analyze it line by line to figure out just what was being said exactly. I will share the bullet-points with you here as I listen along:

• By the 80s, the Soviet Army was just a social club, ineffective and neutered and not even an organization capable of providing a social lift

• Russia didn’t win the Chechen wars, Putin paid Kadyrov’s dad a bribe to end it

• There was no such thing as the “Delbaltsevo Cauldron” in Donbass - Poroshenko’s army simply made an orderly retreat intact. It was a patriotic lie told by Russia

• Wagner was the main force that saved Assad in Syria and was undermined by the MoD every step of the way

• The SMO proved that the Russian army is totally demoralized, unorganized, untrained, undisciplined and unprepared

• The MoD routinely lies about realities on the battlefield even about Wagner’s operations

• The Russian Army in the north likes to get drunk and the Ukrainians make good money selling them cognac

• Wagner launched its operation to stabilize the front when the Russian army was retreating in chaos and disorder following the Ukrainian counterattack

• The military command gives bizarre orders to its men

• There is no real leadership in the army

• Russia has the resources to win, but the leadership keeps the resources away from the people who need it on purpose

• Lower level officers are pressured to lie to higher-ups because everyone will get in trouble if they don’t

• Bakhmut was a plan created by Wagner and General Surovikin to damage the Ukrainian army

• Mentally-ill people in the command believed in saving funds and supplies for a later attack, but this decision was eventually reversed

• Prigozhin says he knows where the supplies are being kept, there are enough supplies to fight another half-year

• MoD Deputy in charge of supplies Aleksei Krivoruchka has to be fired

• Prigozhin outlines some simply military math - one hectare requires X amount of shells to be successfully neutralized before a storm. Wagner needs 80,000 shells a day at the very bare minimum

• On paper, the Russian Army has soldiers on Wagner’s flanks, but they are not there in reality

• Prigozhin believes this is a political sabotage campaign directed at Wagner

• Wagner is facing down 35k Ukrainian soldiers in Bakhmut and up 500 of their soldiers die a day, but are replenished. Every 20 minutes, 10 soldiers are sent in. An unending flood of reinforcements.

• Wagner has been cut-off from supplies. Their representatives are sitting 4 days in line to get an appointment from the bureaucracy

• The KGB stands for Club of Senile Grandpas (in Russian this acronym works) or the Club of Emotional Midgets

• The KGB hates Russia. All their mistresses live good lives in the West so what do they care about the war. They demand that the officers lie to them and only tolerate nice-sounding lies.

• The Russian army has been transformed from the world’s second-best army into one of the worst - Russia cannot even deal with Ukraine

• Russia’s defenses won’t hold if supplies are not released to the soldiers

• Prigozhin reaffirms that political intrigue is what prevents the release of these supplies

• Prigozhin wants to launch a federal investigation into the corrupt officials responsible for this and the blood that they have on their hands

• Prigozhin keeps a list of the thousands of Russian deaths caused by the MoD

• Poor medicine leads to more deaths

• Bakhmut could have been taken if Shoigu had given them their supplies

• Wagner might have to retreat unless they don’t get supplies

• Time to tell the truth and stop lying to the Russian people

• Once the rains end and the ground dries, the attack will come, maybe by the 9th of May

• The interviewer asks: “maybe you will use these weapons to storm Moscow?”

• Prigozhin compares the hated bureaucrats who live on Rublevka to Jews living in Israel

• No real answer about whether or not Wagner will march on Moscow, the question is dismissed as being ridiculous [I think its a fun fantasy]

• Prigozhin has a helpful list of instructions in his office on how to configure scopes correctly for potential snipers (Kremlin assassins) who want to shoot him at his office in St. Petersburg written on his wall with a helpful hint to adjust for a potential dip in the path of the bullet caused by the long distance of a potential shot taken from across the Neva river

• Wagner’s pressure is all that slows down the Ukrainian counterattack by diverting attention

• Wagner’s intelligence says that they have spies, satellites, the whole works and according to their information, the Ukrainian threat is very real and can reach the Russia-proper border with the forces that they have

• Wagner takes the opinions and analyses of their soldiers seriously, the Russian Military, in contrast, treats its soldiers like trash

• They repeat a lot of points about the need for supplies

• Ukraine wants to continue the advance further than Donbass and then Poland and NATO

• Interviewer: “are you a demoralization agent?”

• Prigozhin: the Russian people need to know because they will have to pay in blood for this. The bureaucrats will simply flee to the West. They are the ones afraid of the truth

• Prigozhin asks why Russia continues to sell oil to the West through India? Says this is treachery. The elites in Russia are in secret negotiations with the Western elite. [A word-for-word Strelkov talking point].

• General Teplinsky is one of the good ones, it’s good news that he is back

• More talk about supplies

• Wagner won’t march on Moscow (lol)

• There is nothing to celebrate this May 9th on Victory Day. Respect for the fallen, but no cause for celebration and pompous ceremonies. Russia hasn’t earned this theatrical display

Conclusions:

• The army needs supplies

• The bureaucrats need to come to the frontlines

• The Ukrainian army will attack and this may very well end in tragedy for Russia

• The need for the truth to cut through state propaganda has never been more pressing

I’ll have more to say on this including more speculations about the fate of Wagner. But this article is just straight faithful transcription of the facts. Prigozhin’s words can stand on their own for now.