Actually, Russia Will Have to Mobilize A LOT More Men
Assuming they want to win that is.
About a year into the Not-War, I made a bad prediction about Peskov having to announce that a partial mobilization was not enough and that another mobilization was absolutely necessary to be able to go on any offensives and take back lost territory. At the time, I was still laboring under the delusion that military realities dictated the pace of this war and not political or perhaps even occult agendas. The prediction that Peskov would stop lying, throw in the towel and eventually announce another mobilization was a total wiff and a miss on my part.
There Is Probably Going to Be a Second Wave of Mobilization
The infamously clueless and hapless Kremlin PR guy, Dmitri Peskov, has come out recently categorically denying that a second mobilization is in the works. That means that there is almost certainly a second wave of mobilization being planned. TASS: The Kremlin is not discussing the possibility of a second mobilization wave in Russia, Presidential Spokesma…
Now I am experiencing deja vu as the topic of a potential new mobilization has come up in Russia again. Peskov already denied rumors of a new mobilization as did Shoigu. Now he’s denying them again. Here:
MOSCOW, Apr 3 – RIA Novosti. Russian President spokesman Dmitry Peskov denied Vladimir Zelensky’s allegations of allegedly upcoming mobilization in Russia.
"This is not true," – said Peskov RIA Novosti.
As Ukrainian media previously reported, Zelensky said on Wednesday that Russia is allegedly preparing to additionally mobilize 300 thousand troops by June 1.
But, in conjunction with the denial, Moscow is providing justification for why a mobilization will be unnecessary. The new fake news narrative is that there are so many volunteers to go over to fight in Ukraine that there is no need for a mobilization. A popular Twitter ZAnon propaganda account for retards called Armchair Warlord explained the new line of bullshit to the clap-happy seal masses just the other day. Here:
The Russian MoD put out an interesting announcement today. Over 100,000 new contract soldiers have signed up with the Russian military since the start of the year. Of those, more than 16,000 signed up since the terror attack in Moscow ten days ago. Two divisions. It's astonishing to me that serious people still think there's going to be some kind of rump Ukraine left under Zelensky's regime when this war is over. The Russians cannot tolerate, as a matter of national security, a heavily-armed and fanatically revanchist rump Ukraine on their border to serve as a terrorism hub for the indefinite future - which any such postwar "frozen conflict" state would. This war will end - at this point, can end - only with the unconditional surrender of Ukraine. Whether that capitulation leads to the outright dissolution of the Ukrainian state or merely comprehensive regime change in Kiev remains to be seen.
How about neither, dummy. You liars can only get away with all of this shameless lying because the normie-cattle do not have memories. You can lie today because they don’t remember how you lied to them yesterday. That is why no one notices that the ZAnon squad of today are all yesteryear’s regime apparatchik goons.
Go down the list: Sachs, Carlson, Ritter, Johnson, Raevsky, Roberts, etc.
Actually, I am currently reading a book recommended to me by Laurent Guyenot about the 10th or 11th century collapse and the entire first half of the book is the author, Patrick Geary, explaining how the peasant masses don’t really have memory as we understand it. That is, that the majority of people live in the eternal present or hoping for a better future and that they then rearrange their recollection of the past to fit their view of the present and the future to basically get along better. Geary gets very technical and it is total slog of a book, sadly, but if you’ve studied some of the occult literature on memory and manipulation of the masses, the insights of the book only confirm what the esoterics were writing about for centuries. He further explains that the concept of written history is the birth of propaganda because official written history can only ever be written and preserved if it serves the interests of the powerful.
In other words, you are absolutely going to love what I’m writing out for the next part of my Metaphysics Conspiracy series, let me tell you that right now.
But let’s stay on point for today.
The Kremlin is trying to pretend that the “volunteers” should be enough to achieve their objectives, whatever they are. So far, it seems that the DMZ strategy is indeed what they are pursuing and this is the end goal that they are preparing their propaganda efforts to justify.
REVEALED: The Kremlin's True "Victory Conditions" For Ending the Not-War Are Finally Clear
First of all, yes, there was that Tucker interview with Putin which I should be writing about, but which I’m not ready to tackle just yet. Slavsquat posted it and I reposted it. Let me just make some quick remarks about it now. I prefer to just reference it going forward instead of breaking it down paragraph by paragraph because it was a total waste of time, frankly, and it disappointed a lot of people. But you get used to being disappointed when talking or thinking about Putin.
If the goal is to just hold on to what they have and negotiate a DMZ running NK/SK style along the Donbass, then they figure that they can get away with the absolute bare minimum of soldiers holding the line.
I think that the decision to not mobilize more men is DISASTROUS.
It actually means more men getting killed in the future for several reasons. Here they are:
Fighting at parity or disadvantage means more men die because no one side is able to achieve a strategic victory, leading to a surrender
A “humane” way of waging war is to use overwhelming numbers and strength to force a surrender, WWII German Blitzkrieg style
An inhumane way of waging war is to spend years in grinding WWI style trench warfare feeding men in consistently to die against the other side at roughly 1:1 parity until one side runs out of men
Weakness encourages NATO to escalate and keep investing into the fight
Even if the reports that tens of thousands of men volunteered to fight in Donbass after the Crocus attacks are true, which they almost certainly aren’t, then that is still nowhere near enough men to go on the offensive.
ZAnon would have you believe that there are secret armies being prepared in the Urals, but the news that we actually do have indicates the complete opposite: Russia is losing men to rotation, attrition, etc and basically is just able to keep things stable with the current inflows of new recruits, not to expand.
I believe that the supply of volunteers within Russia will be running low now, because of how steeply morale is dropping in Russian society in regards to this Not War. As a result, the Kremlin will simply copy what their esteemed Western partners have pioneered and hire mercenaries to do their fighting for them if they can. I would actually vastly prefer that Russia sends foreigners and criminals to get blown to bits and not Russian boys and I don’t give a flying fuck if you or anyone else thinks I am a NAZI NAZI NAZI for saying so. If the Brown World is so concerned about White Supremacy and think that the Nazis in Ukraine have to be stopped (they don’t care, btw) then they should go and do the fighting, not me and mine.
Lastly, some commentary from ordinary Russians on Russia’s messageboards who believe that Peskov’s mustache might have the key to figuring out if he is telling the truth or not:
Me, I think they raise some good points.
We should pay attention to the length of his mustache in the coming days and see if it has grown or diminished in its majesty to see if he was telling the truth or not.
Spot on Rurik! The amount of online spats I've got in recently with people saying Odessa is going to be taken is almost comical but mostly sad. I was laughing my arse off at a recent Duran video I caught that someone else was watching saying how high tech the Russian Army is compared to Ukraine. They just spoon feed what ZAnon want to hear with no merrit or consequences - please take these guys down like you did Ritter. How are they expert!s Talk about people having short memory. I look forward to the new metaphysics article. My bedtime listening at the moment is your powerful talks with Tom Montalk. You need to try some sound meditation with Tibeten bowls man!
So sick...but, Stoltenberg and NATOanons are the same story tellers, on this side of spectrum. But, I will allow to myself to ask one very stupid question. What do you think - is there little possibility to make peace between Russia and Europe? Of course, few presumptions are: to remove all this cio-kriptocracy from our states, and to destroy - here on west side - this toxic EU organisation, NATO also. Of course, all ZAnon and NATOanons must be censored. And, of course, Zelenski and his cio-friends must go. Because, as we all can see - we here, not in RF, not in EU, I mean ordinary people - we are not enemies to each other, enemies are people who are in our govrnments and this people send so many strange ilegal imigrants - and they are living here better then us. Yes, I think, especially Slav people, we are so similar, we even understand each other when we talk....ok, that's enough. I was always a little bit stupid, because I'm optimist at the end. And yes, there are so many clouds and weather is so toxic here last days - and this all together formating my crazy thoughts and sily question. Be good and stay straight as you are. I barely waiting your new methaphisic article, although I read your book now - from time to time. Bye