After Brilliant Mastermind Capture of Avdeevka, President Putin Announces Plans to CHECKMATE Odessa Next!
Game over, globalists!
Yes, you read that right! The UAF has abandoned Avdeevka after months of heavy fighting. With this, the entire Ukrainian war effort has been put into “check” and with the road to Odessa now wide open, the next move is to “mate” the Satanists.
Psh, nothing personal, globalist.
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OK, let’s see how my little clickbait trap works this time. Last time I did this, I got a huge surge in traffic for a headline alleging that Putin promised to arrest Tom Hanks or something.
Afterwards, I got a dozen angry emails when the ZAnonners realized I was making fun of them. In my defense, I lay on the sarcasm pretty thick and if people can’t figure it out, well, should they really even be trying to figure politics out at all?
Why don’t some of these irate older ladies go garden instead. Or bake some cookies. Go fishing maybe?
I like to think that when I’m 50+ I’d spend most of my days fishing. I’d get to hang out near nature all day in a natural meditative state and not have to feel guilty about it. I look forward to it, actually.
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The real headline for today should read: That’s a Wrap, Capture of Avdeeka Signals End to Russia’s Offensive Campaign in Ukraine For Foreseeable Future.
Because I don’t think that there’s any follow-up to Aveevka planned by the Kremlin.
But, before we get ahead of ourselves, let us discuss what happened at Aveevka. I am glad I waited a bit before rushing to report on this story. We now have information coming out to indicate that the rearguard in the town was Azov battalion. Instead of holding the town as they were ordered to do by Kiev, they retreated. Here:
The 3rd Special Brigade entered the coke plant and the center of Avdeevka in order to cut off the wedge of the Moksha offensive from the North with two converging blows from both sides.
Great plan. Reliable, like a Swiss watch.
But as often happens in Ukraine, this case was entrusted to chmyrs and gays in the bad sense of the word.
Two days ago, the 3rd Special Brigade simply refused to go on the attack.
Those of our readers who had the misfortune of being near Ilovaisk in August 14th know very well that in the subsequent embarrassment it was not Geletey and Muzhenko who were to blame, but Avakov’s [idiots] from “Azov”, who did not comply with the order on August 22-33 to occupy Amvrosievka and cover the flank.
Instead, “Azov” went to Mariupol to bury as many as TWO brothers-in-arms, “who fell in fierce battles.”
And through the hole in Amvrosievka, two BTG mokshas entered, which created the Ilovaisk cauldron.
So it goes.
If you don’t know, the 3rd Special Brigade is Azov in its integrated form.
For years, European and American right-wingers were defending Azov and claiming that they would launch a coup against Kiev any day now. That Azov was just doing RealPolitik and biding its time. Those people are idiots or paid propagandists, of course. Azov is now fully integrated into the army, has lost most of its autonomy, been forced to drop its rhetoric and edgy imagery, and continues to be given the dirtiest jobs by Kiev. “Right-wingers” i.e., dumb peasants are encouraged to go be cannon fodder in Washington’s wars. I personally knew a Swedish Catholic youth group that was paid to come protest on Maidan and then to train with Azov to go on punitive raids in Donbass. They didn’t publicize this, but that’s what they did. Good guys/goys from all over Europe really do sign up to get their limbs blown off for Zelensky. It is truly remarkable. No wonder they think we are mindless cattle … I’m starting to come round to that line of thinking myself, frankly.
I mean I can understand wanting to ditch the old nagging heifer at home, but God made Cambodia for that, not Donbass.
But I digress.
Some more blame being heaped on Azov here:
The main reason why the Armed Forces of Ukraine left the Avdeevsky coke plant was the refusal of the 3rd assault brigade to carry out the order, it is worth measuring one thing, the plant was not surrounded, but Azov withdrew from its positions. (https://t.me/rezident_ua/21717) According to our information, the main reason was large losses due to FABs.
Ukrainian troops abandoned a fortified plant in the north of Avdiivka - BILD analyst
On Saturday night, the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced a retreat from Avdiivka to “prepared positions,” as the city was under threat of encirclement. According to BILD open data analysis expert Julian Röpke, Russian troops have already occupied the Avdeevka coke plant in the north of the city, one of the most fortified positions in the district.
“The Ukrainian army handed over the Avdiivka coke plant to Russian troops. Since it planned to “withdraw units from the city and go on the defensive on more advantageous lines,” I am a little shocked, since this plant is perhaps the most fortified position in the area,” Roepke writes.
If you don’t know who Roepke is, he’s a NATO shill. But his analysis is far better than the NAFO people who spread myths like #theghostofkiyv or whatever. He constantly gets grief and is accused of being a Russian stooge for being realistic about Kiev’s chances. A pattern emerges where the reasonable voices on all sides are singled out for targeted harassment. Although, compared to myself, Riley, Strelkov and Arestovich, Roepke has it easy.
Point being: even NATO shills are admitting that Azov is to blame.
And this gets into a debate I was having on Twitter about volunteer soldiers. Twitter is full of midwits who know nothing but know how to speak fruity enough to impress other dumb people. I enjoy dunking on these people a little bit too much.
And now Zelensky is meting out punishment for the surrender of Avdeevka. Here:
Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President instructed the General Staff and the SBU to conduct an investigation into the 3rd brigade, which refused to carry out the order and enter the Avdiivka positions. On Bankova street, they are very angry with Syrsky, who promised to hold the city while Zelensky was on a tour of the EU, but had to urgently leave the fortified positions that had been created in Avdiivka for over ten years.
So, all those “Ukrainian” or European (it was mostly Scandinavians) nationalists who supported Azov have a choice: deliver on the coup that they were promising or get thrown into SBU dungeons for being secret Kremlin supporters! Tick-tock, so-called nationalists!
In conclusion, I hope that this is the last we hear of Azov for awhile.
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So, overall, Avdeevka was an amusing and fortuitous W for Russia.
Perhaps Azov knew that the Russian soldiers would take no prisoners from the 3rd Brigade on account of Putin and his corrupt oligarchs freeing Azov prisoners instead of keeping his promise to put them on trial and administer justice to them. That is, if they are taken alive, they will be fed tiramisu instead of punished. So there is no reason to take them alive. And if Azov knows this and understands that they are being used as cannon-fodder to soak up Russian bullets by a regime that does, in fact, loath them, I can see how all these factors might have added up to them bucking their orders and refusing to run the risk of letting themselves get surrounded.
I remember when it looked like Shoigu had deliberately left Bakhmut’s flanks unguarded and cut off supplies to Wagner. It looked like Wagner might get surrounded at some point thanks to the successful UAF counter-offensive. Sadly, with the Kremlin’s assassination of Prigozhin, we may never know what went down in those drama-packed last days in Bakhmut. But I bring it up to point out that the same climate of mutual distrust and disdain may have led to the loss of Avdeevka for Kiev.
But what comes next?
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Putin has been talking about setting up DMZs in Donbass and will no doubt move the goalposts soon to declare that this was the goal of the SMO all along.
The capture of Avdeevka also means that it becomes harder for the UAF to shell [EDIT: hit] Donetsk. Somewhat. That is, Donetsk is still in range, but if they push the UAF some one hundred more kilometers away, then OK, it is still in range, but now only with longer range weapons. But the Kremlin will no doubt say that they have saved Donetsk and thereby achieved their SMO goals in Ukraine.
Now, I don’t think that Russia can actually push the UAF back more than a couple of dozen kilometers here and there.
Again, the Kremlin has NOT been preparing to fight a serious war and to be able to claw forward hundreds of kilometers West would require new armies with new equipment, which would require the Kremlin changing many policies. As things stand now, the Kremlin spends exorbitant amounts of money from “private” companies owned by Putin’s and Shoigu’s friends or buys equipment from abroad piecemeal. This makes the war profitable for the oligarchs, but too expensive for the Russian government. Furthermore, the Kremlin need to invest in setting up huge war factories again. But, that’s not how things are done in Russia. Keynesian measures and the “war economy” are ideologically unacceptable to Putin, who runs Russia like an LLC and who is proud of it!
But more on the economics of the war in a separate article analyzing the entire war effort from top to bottom that I am preparing in honor of the 2nd year anniversary of the two-week Special Policing Action in brotherly, socialist Ukraine.
Even if the Kremlin simply doesn’t have the men (in uniform) and the equipment and supplies to launch any large-scale offensives going forward, the same cannot be said about Kiev, which is continuing to mobilize and rearm and receive more weapons from Washington. Mark my words: the next big attack will come from them, not from Russia. As for where they will attack, I put the odds at 80% in the south/Zaporozhye again and 20% something in the north, around Belgorod.
This is actually the best case scenario because if Ukraine stops attacking it means that a deal has been concluded between Russia and NATO. And if a deal has been concluded, then Putin has signed away huge chunks of Russia’s sovereignty and dignity like he tried to do a few months into the SMO.
Frankly, I don’t think Putin even wants to advance any further if he could.
If he escalates too much, he risks offending his esteemed Western colleagues in the American spook state too much and then you can kiss negotiations with the Anal-Satanists goodbye. Putin has demonstrated that he is desperate for negotiations to begin and that he is unwilling to escalate the war effort or enforce any “red lines” that he and Shoigu have set.
I read a good take on this by an irate Russian Stalinist recently. Here:
Less than three days have passed, and the greatest geostrategist [sarcasm, he thinks Putin is a dumb coward] is again begging for negotiations. This already looks like a serious mental disorder with a good taste of masochism.
For 25 years he has been [converging] to the West. For the sake of this, the army, science, industry, and education had to be destroyed. But they won’t take Putin in the West. He begins to understand this, but at the same time he still remains in Western colonial structures: the IMF, WHO, WTO, etc.
Sounds like he’s in cahoots with Riley, pointing out that Putin is a globalist shill and his government all the more so.
From the very beginning of the so-called SMO, Putin has been begging for negotiations. They tell him to go to hell, they pass entire decrees prohibiting negotiations, but he still continues to beg for them.
You know, society has long been discussing the absolutely crazy, from my point of view, topic about Putin’s clones. Putin’s current masochistic behavior tells us that he is real, that he is in good health, he has not been replaced, and that doubles are not acting in his place.
But if Putin says “no negotiations, let’s go to Lvov” - this is where we need to start worrying about the President of the Russian Federation. In this case, it is quite possible that he was actually replaced.
Have you ever wondered why Germans are so humorless while Russians generally are pretty funny? Maybe the dry sarcasm found in the above text doesn’t translate well. Maybe that is why my own Western readers struggle to understand me when I employ the same dry sarcasm. I must be being read by Germans or Americans of German descent. It all makes sense now! Perhaps I need to learn German humor (learn to not be funny) to get more readers?
Again, I digress.
A perfect example of the Kremlin’s fecklessness and unwillingness to get serious is the non-response to the latest ship-sinking carried out by the UAF. Here:
Ukraine's forces have taken the "maritime momentum" away from Russia in the nearly two-year war after sinking another ship that was part of Moscow's Black Sea Fleet, according to British intelligence.
Kyiv officials announced on Wednesday that it had successfully struck Russia's Caesar Kunikov landing ship in a drone strike near the city of Alupka in southern Crimea. The Kremlin has declined to comment on such reports so far.
In an intelligence update a day later, the U.K.'s Defense Ministry confirmed Ukraine had conducted a "successful" attack on the Russian Ropucha-class landing craft, noting that the drone strike "almost certainly resulted in the sinking of the vessel." According to the update, Kyiv has now sunk three of Moscow's Ropucha-class vessels since the start of the war in February 2022.
And someone got fired for doing something wrong, finally! Here:
Admiral Viktor Sokolov, who held this post since September 14, 2022, has been removed from the post of commander of the Black Sea Fleet.
Under him, about 20% of the Black Sea Fleet was lost. His decision also prohibited the installation of non-standard devices and installations on ships, for example, thermal imagers for detecting kamikaze boats, additional heavy machine guns, drones with a thermal imager and other technological products from the 21st century. Although, even during the Russian-Japanese war, destroyers were discovered with additional searchlights, and during the First World War, ships were covered with anti-torpedo nets. Therefore, the removed admiral could not only bring in the knowledge of the 21st century, but also failed to take out the knowledge of the 20th century.
Vice Admiral Sergei Mikhailovich Pinchuk was appointed as the new commander.
One word, folks: embezzlement. What was the phrase from Biden’s emails? Something like “10% for the big guy?” Looks like this big guy took more than just 10% though.
And where is the response from the Kremlin? Where have been the responses to the last half-dozen line-crossing attacks by Kiev? Shoigu hasn’t even bothered to bomb any transformers or mini-golf courses lately! Kiev can basically operate with impunity at this point. It is clear that the MoD’s policy is to line up targets for the UAF to hit. And the Russian patriot cannot even timorously suggest that Shoigu put a roof over the heads of Russia’s planes without that frothing attack dog Martyanov demanding that they be executed for Nazism i.e., not trusting Shoigu hard enough.
I decided to check what the loudmouthed fool had said about the sinking of a boat, him being a former navy man himself with valuable experience to draw on, and found nothing.
He is too busy barking at Colonel Macgregor for disrespecting the official narrative about the Great-Victory-Motherland-Stalin-Stronk-Hitler-Had-One-Testicle-Much-Patriotism-Yes! war (WWII) at the moment. The only thing he wrote about the sinking of the ship (20% of the fleet now!) was this:
... I repeat--until Russian MoD says so--nothing happened. Otherwise, we get yet another "shot-down A-50" and IL-22 fake reports spread by Kiev regime. Now, they say, it is Tsezar Kunikov BDK. They said they "sunk it". All the same suspects--shysters from YouTube begin to spread things and alleged "video". In professional circles everything seems to be calm.
As proof that nothing had occurred he cited a MoD report that the Russian navy had beaten back an attack by the UAF earlier in the week. This proved to Martyanov that the Russian navy was impervious to UAF attacks. So naturally, the cruiser could not have been sunk a week later. Check and mate, Fascist!
Translation: The Ministry of Defense reported an attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on Russian civilian transport ships using unmanned boats, which was carried out the evening before, February 9, in the Black Sea. The attack was repelled by patrol ships and naval aircraft; civilian ships and naval ships were not damaged, the department said. The Ministry of Defense reported an attempt by the Ukrainian Armed Forces to carry out an attack on Russian civilian transport ships using unmanned boats, which occurred the evening before, February 9, in the southwestern region of the Black Sea. The department wrote about this in its Telegram channel. The attack was repelled by patrol ships and aircraft of the Russian Navy. One unmanned boat was destroyed by artillery fire, the rest were “suppressed by electronic warfare,” the Ministry of Defense writes. No civilian or naval vessels were damaged in the attack, it said.
So, 99.9% of the time 404 [Ukraine] lies through the teeth and its Western propaganda extension--western media--gladly spread Ukie BS.
Again, that is all he wrote about the incident. No correction or acknowledgement that he got it wrong. Just more of the same in the next days. The “same” in question being Martyanov barking and baying at other bloggers, of course.
Well, I have a message I want to pass on to ol’ Marty today.
Move over, punk. I am the #1 Great-Victory-Stronk-Vinter-Да! Russia blogger now.
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And with that, we are all caught up.
Thanks for reading to the end, casual readers.
I’ve got big articles planned in the coming days and weeks. Some great interviews too.
Many of you still owe me money. Don’t forget to sign up to be a paid sub. I’ll yell at you if you don’t. Thanks!
20% of the fleet lol at what point does incompetence not become an adequate explanation and treachery become likely. These Zanon people make it seem like its impossible for the military to be completely compromised as if there is no precedent for something like that happening. The head of german military intelligence in ww2 was a traitor who helped the Chabad Rebbe Lubavitch escape to the west and sabotaged a million other things. Actually the whole German government was crawling with spies and traitors! Seems like a very similar situation here. Also at this point I wonder if most wars have been some sort of farce like this one and its only modern tech that allows observers to get some sort of insight into whats going on. The wars aren't real but the massacres are...
I cant believe the RU would attack during black history month. Don't they know that's completely against LOAC? And next month is definitely out. Asian month! The shoigu needs to celebrate the year of the rat.
Was gonna work in 14 days to flatten the Nazis but not a natural place for it, but I thought your sarcastic side would enjoy..