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Al DuClur's avatar

American conservatives are great about drawing red lines. The left advances. The right buys guns and tells the left not to push them any further. The left advances again. The right buys more guns and warns them again. Repeat.

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Frantic's avatar

But they do periodically hit Ukrainian command centers and ammo depots with missile strikes. Verifiable with a quick search on Google https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=ukrainian+command+center+hit

-The Dniepr bridges still intact are a bit of a mystery though. Probably even with the bridges destroyed, it would still be easy for Ukrainians to bring supplies by ferry instead. This also assumes that Eastern bank Ukraine is completely dependent on provisions from the Western bank and Nato. There may still be hidden ammo manufacturing facilities in the East so to speak.

Also, blowing up the bridges would allow the western media to run all kind of sob stories about how evil Putin has separated people in the East fro their loved and dear in the West.

-Allowing the broadcasting of Ukrainian propaganda provides proof at home that they are engaging in disinformation.

At the end of the day it's all about answering the perennial question: are the Russians playing 4D chess supercleverly and beyond our understanding, or are they fundamentally clueless and are in fact just winging it?

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John Goode's avatar

But the real "decision-making centers" are in Washington. Or to a lesser extent Brussels, London, & Berlin. And it doesn't look like Putin cares to escalate that far. Or even to Warsaw.

So now he's got the same problem the Soviets had in Afghanistan and the U.S. in 'Nam. How much are you willing to fight when you can't attack your enemy's patron directly?

OTOH, Ukrainians may not have as much stomach for this fight as the Afghans or Vietnamese did. Plus, Europe is dependent on Russian gas so what's going to happen this winter? Does Putin shut off the gas until the weapons supplies cease? Would Europe buckle? Or are they gonna shiver in the cold to keep Ukraine afloat?

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Frantic's avatar

Well we are drifting from the main topic here, which was the rationale with which Russia picks its missile targets.

The only answer to your comment I have, is that there will be scarcity of energy, not penury. I.e. bills will be more expensive, because same demand but less supply.

But supply will still be there: German power plants can be switched from LNG to coal, the Greens be damned. LNG can still be bought from Algeria. I think also Norway extracts more gas than it can use. France can export electricity from nuclear. Spain has nuclear as well so won't be too affected. LNG imports from Russia to the UK were minimal.

In the end it will just be a matter of bills doubling in price. The "shiver in the cold" doomsday prediction is just Americans loving to overdramatize things.

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R C's avatar

Rolo, have you tried to get on some YouTube streams, like Gonzalo Lira's or others?

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Rurik Skywalker's avatar

No, I haven't.

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R C's avatar

The stabbing story appears to be false

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David Parker's avatar

Source? Also, interesting how adroitly she manages to cross international boundaries. I thought the American southern border was the only open border in the world.

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