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Mar 9, 2023Liked by Rurik Skywalker

Do you know why nobody is talking about destroying the bridges on the dniepr any more. I believe there only around 40. Surely this would create a logistical nightmare for the Ukrainian army.

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The bridges are an enduring mystery.

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crimea bridge...

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Marko has been complaining about the bridges for awhile now... allowing Ukraine to efficiently supply and reinforce it's troops by leaving them standing is pure 5D chess. That way the attrition buzz-saw goes even faster, makes me want to crimea river.

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Don't hold your breath waiting for China, there's nothing in it for them. Russia is viewed as a transactional buddy, or a potential place to extract goodies. What's distressing is that hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian and Russian sacrificial lambs are cavalierly discarded in another gangster turf war. Like you said, it's the poor or naively patriotic who are thrown into the "meat grinder" while the affluent party throughout Europe.

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Todays massive, epic "attack on Ukrainian infastructure" has put to rest even the slightest possibility that Russia has any intention of trying to win the war outright. This mornings impotent strikes were the biggest this year so far hitting all over Ukraine, they featured the full spectrum of Russias stand off arsenal, and according to Rybar who isnt ever incorrect about the details all over Ukraine the power was turned back on in a few hours. Just cringe. Outright laughable but understandable. I will admit a few months ago when I was much more naive I thought maybe turning off the power in Ukraine was a possibility but its obvious now why that cant be done. If you turned the power off for real you cant send them oil. You especially cant mess with the electricity too much when you are trying to full on increase the amount of fuel you are sending Zog. If you turn off the power and force the trains to switch to coal you will end up temporarily reducing the freight capacity of the railroads and we cant have that when the Oligarchs depend on those railroads for business just like the AFU does logistics.

5D fanfiction posters like to accuse Zelensky and Zog of trying to win "PR" victories at the expense of Ukrainian troops but what do we call these stupid missle strikes? They are obviously meant for internal Russian PR the Kremlin is directing at the population. Its all a show to look like they are doing something when they really arent and its losing effectivness. In the comments of Russian Z channels people are pretty much laughing at them. But just imagine if these missiles had been used directly in support of the troops attacking Ugledar. Or hell even in direct support of Wagner at Bakhmut. Anywhere on the front in direct support of the guys currently being starved of artillery. Just imagine. But no that won't happen because the Kremlin is more or less indifferent about taking anymore territory.

The strikes are just meant to remind Zog that Russia hypothetically could actually damage Ukraine's infastructure and to placate public outrage over the fairly flaccid prosecution of the war. That is they are conducted in support of trying to get some negotiations that allow Moscow to save face, and to save face in real time with the public. There is no evidence of intent to actually win a recognizable victory what so ever.

The China thing Im personally highly skeptical about. If Moscow doesn't want victory I don't see China forcing them to go after it, and the craven pro Western orientation of Russias elite precludes them from being very trustworthy. It could end up being a very bad investment on Chinas part absent Russia cleaning house at the top which isnt likely.

As for the good AFU boy who didn't do anything whose execution was posted on the internet Im with Rusich. Clunky machine translation but it gets the point across well enough:

Thanks to the position of "not cowards" and "not sadists" who call not to finish off the enemy, we have a significant amount of pro-Ukrainian population in the conquered territory, which leaks data every minute, because of which our soldiers die. And for this they are "expelled from the Russian Federation", to the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine

If the life of an enemy is more valuable to you than the life of a Russian soldier, then are you on the wrong side? Maybe another grain deal? Or a couple of goodwill gestures?

I sincerely hope that you are traitors. Otherwise it's worse than betrayal, it's incompetence

We will not touch upon the question of how frightened, the right to an opinion are people who have never fought, but have driven the homeless through villages and mountains for 20 years, in 50 snouts felled 2-3 strikers (with dubious effectiveness) and write themselves out for this orders and titles. The dominance of Islamists in the state apparatus and the rampant ethnic crime throughout the Russian Federation speak eloquently about your ability to "behave properly with the enemy".

(Another related Rusich post)

Scavengers were surprised to discover the world of great war and learned that only the dead do not shoot in the back. After our victory, we do not want to see mimic crests in the state apparatus of the Russian Federation, who will continue to spoil our country and people. Stalin had already made a mistake by not killing the supporters of the UPA and others in Ukraine. And in order to please the impotent from the organs, he just put them in camps, from where they were later amnestied. We drink to this day. The technique of General Evdokimov, who liberated the Stavropol Territory, proved to be many times more effective.

And the position of the group has not changed since its (group) appearance. We openly express it and propagate it, no one has asked us for it and never will, only state awards are issued. Since all kinds of adherents of conventions and "humane treatment of the enemy" do not drive up to the front, we are free to behave as we need.

Of course, we can adopt your practice and travel here for another 30 years and finish off the underdogs, thus justifying our existence. But we want to see our wonderful Black Sea steppes peaceful and populated by Russian people. And not another republic with an endless CTO. In principle, this is the main difference. Someone is fighting for Russia and destroying its enemies. And someone changes enemies for dubious crests, squeals about humanity to the enemy - having never seen him, in captivity treats enemies better than his wounded. And he is afraid to make a man's decision, otherwise "no matter what happens." "Modern idyll" Saltykov-Shchedrin in all its glory.

In order to disarm someone, you must first get to the LBS. But we all know that you won't get close to bbs by finding a million excuses for your impotence. "There will be an ORDER", "but who needs them", "this is not our job" and so on. Yes, and the understanding that anything can happen on LBS. Mines, mistakes in identifying friend / foe, turning the wrong way, in the end, crazy DRGs 🙃.

On this, we consider the dialogue with the rear boot closed. /End machine translations/

https://t.me/dshrg2/685

Posting executions on the internet is dumb, and Rusich has not done it once during the SMO. But in general their logic here is impeccable. The current Russian elite is so traitorous/incompetent that any mercy now will be paid for in Russia blood later. If these people arent brutally supressed now there will be Chechnya 2.0 even if Russia somehow wins something in the SMO. The proof of that already exists in the RF today.

Rolo you even said yourself that liberal democratic states cant actually integrate new territories with a significant hostile population. Well Rusich seems to be of the same mind and the only fix for that is no more liberal democracy, or the guys at the front will have to cover their hands in sh1t now in order to prevent even worse blood letting in the future.

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founding

Lend-lease was ruinous for England. They finished reimbursing it in 2006 ! Accompanying conditions included England leasing Grenada, Diego Garcia and some other places to the USA in order for them to establish military bases. Another clause introduced in 1946 abolished the tarif system in the Commonwealth and with Latin America, opening up worldwide trade competition between prosperous USA and bombed down England, effectively destroying the English industry.

Lend-lease also bankrupted the Netherlands and ended its colonial empire. The Soviet Union would not reimburse anything so the Americans did not bother asking.

Lend-lease from China to Russia would result in a catastrophic economic take-over of Russia by China, probably ending Russian independence and unity. A fate similar to the one wished for by the Americans. God-forbid we reach this stage.

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Here is a thought for those slamming the lack of apparent strategy from the Russian side. Consider this scenario for a moment...No-one is talking about US bioweapons labs in Ukraine much these days.

You know early in the special military operation how Russia made those bold, big arrow moves around Kiev, had an airborne assault on the airfield and perhaps some other inexplicable moves that appeared to amount to nothing?

Remember the Russian claims about the U.S. having many biolabs in Ukraine and that they appeared to be engaged in deliberately testing various bioweapons on local people in the region? Perhaps even using migrating birds to spread biotoxins eastwards into Russia? There was even speculation that they were researching bioweapons that specifically targeted people of Russian ethnicity. It's been rather silent on this subject apart from a couple of public briefings and we are told preparation of materials to present to UN bodies.

If you were doing this kind of bioweapon work would you use the presumably bigger and better equipped facilities located around Kiev as a base of operations, then take your results to more remote facilities for testing? It would be natural for US, UK or EU researchers to prefer working close to the capital both for convenience and comfort. One can understand that for these people, time spent at remote lab facilities in the steppe is only bearable if its just a few days of field work. In this case, certain lab facilities close to Kiev would contain all the samples and documents required to show exactly what was being worked on.

Is it then possible the opening moves by Russia included operations to retrieve materials from identified and targeted biolabs, in particular those located around Kiev? Would it make sense to secure an airport in order to quickly remove whatever materials including samples, computers and documents they managed to obtain? In such an operation would it make sense to station a large force in proximity in case of difficulties?

Pure speculation of course. However it may be a much more plausible explanation for Hostomel than "...idiot Russians on a suicide mission..." What would it take to pull off such an operation? At that early stage I think it would've been relatively easy for well rehearsed and trained Russian special forces and attached biolab specialists to gain access to labs near Kiev. Utilizing the confusion of the opening hours of the Special Military Operation, maybe masquerading as Ukrainian forces or SBU, they would likely talk themselves past whatever security these labs had in place. I don't think anyone in the Ukrainian Government or military would have considered Kiev biolabs an imminent Russian target in the first hours of the conflict.

So, an audacious and bold operation accessing lab facilities near Kiev, knowing exactly what to take, filling a truckload of material in an hour or a little over and driving through the suburbs of Kiev lights flashing, sirens blaring to rendezvous either the airborne forces at Hostomel or if that's too hot ground forces approaching Kiev from the north east. It's unlikely anyone would've challenged them.

As I've said, a scenario like this makes a lot more sense of those two Russian moves (Kiev thrust and Hostomel) that appear unconnected, unsupported and still to this day, difficult to explain.

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There are no 'moral' issues with reprisals ordered by a uniformed combatant commander in a theatre of war. The only recourse to violations of the customary law of land warfare is a reciprocal violation in reprisal.

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Here is someone that agrees with you. The present course can not work for Russia. They need to overthrow the Kiev government and replace it. He looks at the other alternatives (Minsk 3, grinding down Ukraine for 10 years) and finds them ... wanting.

How Russia can get out of the strategic impasse in Ukraine

The most sane way out of this strategic impasse seems to be the expansion of the war zone throughout Ukraine, only the goals and objectives should be different. Instead of joining Kharkov, Suma and Chernihiv to the Russian Federation, increasing the hatred of the rest of the Uncaled, a new state entity should be proclaimed and created in the liberated territory, alternative to the current Nazi Ukraine. Say the Little Russian Federation ( MF ). This will allow us to re-form the pro-Russian subject in the conflict, who will be able to pursue the policy we need. Its goal will be the overthrow of the pro-Western regime, the punishment of Nazi criminals and the restoration of peace and good neighborly relations.

https://topcor.ru/32933-kak-rossija-mozhet-vybratsja-iz-strategicheskogo-tupika-na-ukraine.html?utm_source=politobzor.net

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There is no way China gets seriously involved in the Ukraine war. Chinese culture is built on making money to buy real estate. Unless China is being attacked the public, especially the wealthy, would rebel at a sudden and significant decrease in their ability to buy foreign real estate and make money internationally. They would make the Russian elite seem patriotic.

Besides China is getting good deals on energy and is one of the countries replacing western businesses in Russia.

Chinese are not ideological. They are practical which makes the western hysteria over their military very retarded

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The Chinese are highly fanatical and the most Jingoistic country on the planet at present.

They are dead set on inflicting upon Europeans suffering and humiliation which supposedly was inflicted upon them in the past. They commonly and very obliviously refer to us as 'White devils' in their media and news.

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To think that the Chinese are hell bent on inflicting suffering in the West is to ignore their entire history and culture.

Chinese culture is built on making money to buy real estate. Traditionally Chinese explorers did not conquer lands, they traded with them.

Chinese are buying up lots of real estate in the rest of the world and want more. They will pretend to hate white people if it helps them make money and buy real estate like they do in the US. But unlike the Jews they have no agenda beyond money and real estate.

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The Chinese are ridiculously bad, trust me.

In case China were to gain any clout globally and on you, you'll immediately find yourself wanting to run back under the tutelage of Jews, screaming.

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It seems more and more like Prighozin is focused and rather talented at doing his part in the psywar. He is a master troll and I think expert at kayfabe and other fake drama creations. Early in March he was engaging in a bit of kayfabe with MoD and taunting the regular Russian forces about `holding back'. He was likely doing so to encourage Ukraine high command/politicians plus the NATO, Pentagon, EU, US congress and White House warmongers to keep encouraging the reinforcement of certain areas rather than withdrawing. Because the Russians knew they would shortly encircle those areas.

While its natural to take people at face value, just trying viewing Prighozin's videos as pure drama and BS intended for a specific audience who are happy to fight to the last Ukrainian (eg. Senator Graham, Nuland, Stoltenberg etc).

Hopefully Zelenski isn't engaged in a calculus of throwing peasants at Wagner to try and weaken them. But who knows? I can imagine the warmongers I just mentioned being quite capable of it. However when you start down that slippery path of trade offs in death reaching a level where `they are worth it', haven't you lost all moral authority? It certainly does seem to be the hallmark of US warfighting - like saving the village from being captured by VC by destroying the village and killing the inhabitants. I'm not sure that level of cynicism or psychopathy is part of a winning formula. In fact it's an undeniably desperate measure, funnelling kids and grandads into an encirclement because `image'. Again note Prighozin showing the world the sad teenagers and elderly he is forced to kill, the master troll calling out Zelenski and Zulhuzny and shaming them for it.

As well, where does the `it's worth it' blood sacrifice of ones own people end? WE know already that the warmongers have been open about fighting Russia to the last Ukrainian. Seriously, the Ukrainian population need to wake up. If they are that brainwashed about their fate as Washington's blunt instrument, then that is far from winning.

The fake moral authority, legitimacy or high ground the Ukrainian leadership was able to fabricate from Russia's pre-emptive special operation, has now been dragged to every seat of Government in europe, the UK and US. and displayed as a useful prop to beg for arms and money. Nothing drains the moral authority & legitimacy of leadership faster than arranging the slaughter of your own people. In this regard history will not look kindly on the Ukrainian leadership and their warmonger enablers for their refusal and stubborn stupidity about finding an offramp from the conflict. When the real Ukrainian casualty figures become known, which they will, the resulting collapse in support for the Ukrainian leadership will not look at all like winning.

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"I say we let our moral betters, the priests, leaf through their holy books and puzzle that one out and come back to us with their verdict. "

Yes, but which priests? Only some of them are our moral betters

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Why would China do anything to help Russia win this war fast, when they are the true winners in this conflict? The longer it drags, more resourses are drained from the west, especially the US, while their long time rival but current "ally" becomes more and more of a vassal.

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Mar 9, 2023·edited Mar 9, 2023

Some of the headlines in the West have been humorous like the crack Ukrainian SEAL team that blew up Nord Stream but many have taken a Doomer turn. The Ukies are "running out of ammo" or "important Bakhmut will fall tomorrow." You'd think the Russians are ready for a breakout and blitzkrieg. It's almost as if the political class has some members wavering in their undying desire to launder more funds and arms through Ukraine. No one seems to have any endgame except mutual slaughter. It's a sick, cynical strategy. The sad part is watching the 5D westerners embrace it like it's a video game and not husbands, fathers, sons, and brothers dying. What three months now to take one town? I doubt the Ukrainians' Western handlers don't have a contingency for Bakhmut falling.

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What do you make of the recent pessimistic talk from Zelensky and the western press? Zelensky recently spoke of it being an "open road" to kramatorsk and so on if Bakhmut crumbles, WSJ reported that ukrainian elite units are being grinded down as opposed to it being merely a meat grinder for untrained conscripts.

Prigozhin in his recent appearance (I think) claimed that Russia has large amounts of trained troops with modern tech ready to make the world crumble when operational space opens in the aftermath of the conquest of Bakhmut.

Mutually reinforcing psyop?

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/07/europe/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-cnn-interview-bakhmut-intl/index.html (Zelensky panic about Bakhmut)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-wagner-troops-exhaust-ukrainian-forces-in-bakhmut-b58e726c

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Prigozhin said it would take 2-3 years to get to the river.

And yes, Zelensky is motivated to play up the importance of Bakhmut. Otherwise they might just retreat to the next line of defense and hand Wagner a pr victory.

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https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1633400927410438145 Mostly in reference to this, which if Prigozhin is not making stuff up would have at least some credibility one would think. If not the case then I would be more skeptical in retrospect about his dramatic comments.

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Maybe but Prigozhin is also motivated to play up the importance of the town

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