I usually stay away from making any predictions and just report on the most obvious stuff. This sets me apart from the 5D dunce bloggers who constantly make wild predictions about huge cauldrons, massive traps and so on that never materialize. Few bloggers actually just report and analyze what is happening and not what they
Sep 16, 2022·edited Sep 16, 2022Liked by Rurik Skywalker
I watch this situation and follow it daily. I appreciate your valuable perspective. The fact that Russia could win this war tomorrow but chooses not to leads me to believe that there are other considerations being weighed. We can only guess at what they are, but I am betting on my man Putin.
Sep 16, 2022·edited Sep 16, 2022Liked by Rurik Skywalker
Hello, new here, I have been wondering the same.
This is not the full military might of Russia, and I have been asking myself looking just at a map, why haven't these bridges over the Dniepr river been destroyed in the initial phase? Its a broad and large river, what's gone is gone there, can't be rebuilt easily. So yes, I got the impression the Russian air force has been almost absent.
Does any reader know Alexej Fenenko? Is he part of the more patriotic faction?
He gave an excellent interview right before the plandemic psyop to RT German, which is being memory holed by RT.
I find it hard to believe that Russia has never achieved air superiority in this conflict but rather relied on making this an artillery war. Napalm works wonders on frontline enemy troops even if they are dug in.
Another forgotten benefit to this incompetence is how much Russian neighbors are showing their true colors. If the Russian government is trying to showcase globohomo ideology is complete shit then they’re doing a marvellous job. Sorry guys, there is no multicultural utopia around the corner.
Maybe Russia can use air power to strike behind the lines instead of placing all their effort on the front line. Isn’t air power Ukraine’s weak suit? Putin and Medvedev have been warning of upping the ante and they’ve disabled that nuclear plant.
I personally am not interested in the day to day exchanges of a live war. Live war scares the piss out of me, and I want to know why it happened this time in Europe and why it continues with so few calls for peace. If they can cook up a live war between two nations that are so ethnically similar, what can they do in China or the Mideast, or maybe even here in the U.S? I have nightmares of armed men landing on my balcony and shooting up my house while I'm sleeping. Is this what the world has come to?
My teacher taught me something called the Third Party Law. It states, in a nutshell, that third parties cause wars. If third parties were not present and lying to both sides, both sides would prefer to settle their differences by conference. Looking at the propaganda being spewed in this war, assuming the opposing sides actually believe it, it is obvious that someone is lying to somebody about something!
I hate people who pontificate about why other people do the things they do. You can spot certain behavior patterns and make predictions based on those patterns, but if you want to detect motivation the first step is to directly ask the person you want to know about. And if you don't get an answer that makes sense, you have to find out where the irrationality is coming from. In a hot war, I don't expect the propaganda from either side to be truthful.
When the Ukrainians accuse the Russians of killing 400 civilians in cold blood, how do they know that? Was it really a fresh mass grave, or was it from WW2? In WW2 it was Nazis committing atrocities. Are Nazis no longer a problem in that region? Are there Ukrainians capable of killing their own people in order to advance some odd political agenda they have? The news outlets don't ask these questions or do anything to clarify the situation. So they act as Third Parties, too.
The only other data I have is from a couple of independent sources. One is an American reporter (Patrick Lancaster) reporting from the Russian side. He finds evidence that the Ukrainians are still shelling ethnic Russians in the Donbas region. Another is a remote viewing group (Farsight) that reports ET interference in the minds of Putin and some of his top advisors. So that would be evidence of an exotic Third Party influence in Russia. This is apparently commonplace among world leaders. Totally unreported and not even considered valid by most commentators. But it makes more sense to me than the propaganda lies I hear on the news every day.
It's as if Ukrainians attack in spurts that are timed depending on the reception of new batches of Western weaponry. They looked almost in complete passivity around when Severodonetsk and Lisichansk exchanged hands. Now on the contrary they can muster successful offensives. Did they play possum when they gave up those cities, knowing they would counterattack once new shipments arrived? That right there is a cold-blooded, calculated 5D chess move.
The Russians on the main front, in the meanwhile, keep gnawing at Bakhmut, taking a village a week like nothing has happened on the sidelines.
If the Ukrainians can get renewed stashes of weaponry periodically it's impossible to make predictions based on the state of their army. I wonder what's going on with Putin, does he have a plan B and C? Or he simply doesn't know what to do? If the AFU is still in good shape this is going to be a Syrian level quagmire.
maybye the PUREST exemple of hardcore-leftist pro-russian account I have found. Cult of nature, pathologic anti-occidentalism, a strange mix between Greta Tunberg and Putinism !
I deeply think, der Rolo, one of your missions, is to DESTROY those false allies in the eyes of sincere prorussian people.
I watch this situation and follow it daily. I appreciate your valuable perspective. The fact that Russia could win this war tomorrow but chooses not to leads me to believe that there are other considerations being weighed. We can only guess at what they are, but I am betting on my man Putin.
Hello, new here, I have been wondering the same.
This is not the full military might of Russia, and I have been asking myself looking just at a map, why haven't these bridges over the Dniepr river been destroyed in the initial phase? Its a broad and large river, what's gone is gone there, can't be rebuilt easily. So yes, I got the impression the Russian air force has been almost absent.
Does any reader know Alexej Fenenko? Is he part of the more patriotic faction?
He gave an excellent interview right before the plandemic psyop to RT German, which is being memory holed by RT.
I find it hard to believe that Russia has never achieved air superiority in this conflict but rather relied on making this an artillery war. Napalm works wonders on frontline enemy troops even if they are dug in.
Another forgotten benefit to this incompetence is how much Russian neighbors are showing their true colors. If the Russian government is trying to showcase globohomo ideology is complete shit then they’re doing a marvellous job. Sorry guys, there is no multicultural utopia around the corner.
Maybe Russia can use air power to strike behind the lines instead of placing all their effort on the front line. Isn’t air power Ukraine’s weak suit? Putin and Medvedev have been warning of upping the ante and they’ve disabled that nuclear plant.
I personally am not interested in the day to day exchanges of a live war. Live war scares the piss out of me, and I want to know why it happened this time in Europe and why it continues with so few calls for peace. If they can cook up a live war between two nations that are so ethnically similar, what can they do in China or the Mideast, or maybe even here in the U.S? I have nightmares of armed men landing on my balcony and shooting up my house while I'm sleeping. Is this what the world has come to?
My teacher taught me something called the Third Party Law. It states, in a nutshell, that third parties cause wars. If third parties were not present and lying to both sides, both sides would prefer to settle their differences by conference. Looking at the propaganda being spewed in this war, assuming the opposing sides actually believe it, it is obvious that someone is lying to somebody about something!
I hate people who pontificate about why other people do the things they do. You can spot certain behavior patterns and make predictions based on those patterns, but if you want to detect motivation the first step is to directly ask the person you want to know about. And if you don't get an answer that makes sense, you have to find out where the irrationality is coming from. In a hot war, I don't expect the propaganda from either side to be truthful.
When the Ukrainians accuse the Russians of killing 400 civilians in cold blood, how do they know that? Was it really a fresh mass grave, or was it from WW2? In WW2 it was Nazis committing atrocities. Are Nazis no longer a problem in that region? Are there Ukrainians capable of killing their own people in order to advance some odd political agenda they have? The news outlets don't ask these questions or do anything to clarify the situation. So they act as Third Parties, too.
The only other data I have is from a couple of independent sources. One is an American reporter (Patrick Lancaster) reporting from the Russian side. He finds evidence that the Ukrainians are still shelling ethnic Russians in the Donbas region. Another is a remote viewing group (Farsight) that reports ET interference in the minds of Putin and some of his top advisors. So that would be evidence of an exotic Third Party influence in Russia. This is apparently commonplace among world leaders. Totally unreported and not even considered valid by most commentators. But it makes more sense to me than the propaganda lies I hear on the news every day.
It's as if Ukrainians attack in spurts that are timed depending on the reception of new batches of Western weaponry. They looked almost in complete passivity around when Severodonetsk and Lisichansk exchanged hands. Now on the contrary they can muster successful offensives. Did they play possum when they gave up those cities, knowing they would counterattack once new shipments arrived? That right there is a cold-blooded, calculated 5D chess move.
The Russians on the main front, in the meanwhile, keep gnawing at Bakhmut, taking a village a week like nothing has happened on the sidelines.
If the Ukrainians can get renewed stashes of weaponry periodically it's impossible to make predictions based on the state of their army. I wonder what's going on with Putin, does he have a plan B and C? Or he simply doesn't know what to do? If the AFU is still in good shape this is going to be a Syrian level quagmire.
Southfront did suggest a few days ago the next offensive may come at Ugledar, which has been positional skirmishing so far but a breakout there could lead to endangerment of Mariupol, or of the souther flank of Donetsk city. https://southfront.org/ukrainian-forces-prepare-new-large-scale-offensive-in-ugledar-region-reports/
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/natural-born-killers-americans
maybye the PUREST exemple of hardcore-leftist pro-russian account I have found. Cult of nature, pathologic anti-occidentalism, a strange mix between Greta Tunberg and Putinism !
I deeply think, der Rolo, one of your missions, is to DESTROY those false allies in the eyes of sincere prorussian people.
A larger army is one possibility to prevent another Ukrainian breakthrough. Tactical nukes are another.
As you didn't write about that possibility, I assume that you think that Russia won't or can't use nukes anyway? Why?
Napoleon’s marching on Borodino.