China and India buy Russian oil on discount, everyone knows this. Less known is the fact that they buy all the Russian export commodities on discount : gold, silver, gemstones, nickel, aluminium, coal, semi-finished iron and steel, fertiliser, wood. These friends of Russia profit big from the friendship.
Are the MacGregors and Raevskys really what they claim to be ? Some of them may be genuine but I believe that some are disinformation operatives of the intelligence services, Western or other, and that other bloggers take an occasional coin to push narratives.
Thank you for the realistic perspective on Russia, Ukraina and the war.
Russia is just friends with Benefits ;) I'm not sure about China, they know they are next on the plate after Russia is finished so they might go down together. But i China will collapse if they can't trade with the west anymore so they are cought in vice.
Feb 28, 2023·edited Feb 28, 2023Liked by Rurik Skywalker
People really struggle with the idea that the side they favor and is their promised liberator is imperfect or flawed.
I would say they aren't visualizing this in the proper literary paradigm: they assume their side is always the clear-eyed hero who knows what must be done and is fighting for righteousness.
A safer bet for anyone opposing an evil empire is that anyone with power on your side is more of a jaded and bitter loser (a la Thomas Covenant the Unbeliever) who doesn't really want to do any of this and is begrudgingly forced to make choices or a woefully naive type who will fumble and be abused horribly until they inevitably harden or break.
Personally, while it's miserable in many ways and not ideal, it shouldn't be blackpilling. A lot of metaphysical growth is based on the fact that people make terrible mistakes and choices on the path of evolution and thus must grow, and choices that are easy for some and very hard for others. So, Russia's leadership largely being staffed by a bunch of goblin fuck-ups who don't want a sovereign Russia, being forced into this situation, is just part of Russia's ongoing shedding of both the Soviet past and its own people's (relatively recent, last 600 years, brief momemt of clarity late tsarism, and then the dark ages of the Communist Party) historic apathy.
Or rather, "If I can't have a swift victory, then at least give me a painful one that purges my weaknesses and sins."
The 5dr's have now started talking about the "Big Springtime offensive". First it was when the ground froze over now supposedly its after or during lol rasputitsa. And same old crap about Bakhmut is the last domino to fall before the entire Ukie defence crumbles completely ignoring the Kramatorsk Slavyansk mega fortified line, oh but why wont the west just admit they've lost its all over.... Says the duran, frigen comedy.
Honestly, given the way that Russia is fighting this war, a "big" offensive during the Rasputitsa might make more sense than anything else. The mud season traditionally makes offensives hard to to perform because it makes maneuvering hard. However, the SMO way of war doesn't seem to include maneuver as a tactic (lol), but simply grinding down prepared enemy positions with artillery. In that case, the mud might provide an advantage by making it harder for the Ukrainians to reinforce positions under assault by the Russians. If the Ukrainians are forced to use only paved roads to reinforce their positions, the idea of "operational encirclement" that the 5D analysts keep going on about every time the Russians make a quarter circle around a city might actually mean something.
"How is it a victory if 2 million Ukrainians die for the cost of 1 million Russians? How is killing Ukrainians a victory against NATO at all? Ukraine isn’t in NATO. Large numbers of NATO troops and civilians aren’t dying. East Slavs are."
This is truly why I can't stand to discuss this with warmonger ghouls, they can't see this. Another win, Rolo. You're my main purveyor of war info. You can gloat :)
Yes you got this right, have got to give it to you, me instead was swayed by the 5D sirens.
The other blogger is a notorious video aggregator for the war btw. I was arguing over at his site when fatefully, which probably deep down was what I wasexpecting, I was hit by someone asking me to provide links and data.
I think the 5D problem may just be another outwardly, surface manifestation of the more profound Boomer problem.
Good job on the predictions. You were the only blogger I know of who got this right. Not to diminish your accomplishment but it really wasn't hard to get this right just like it wasn't hard to predict that Trump was not going to cross the Rubicon.
I would add one more point: it really helps in a war (and most other difficult things) to feel you really, really have (not want) to win. The Ukrainians are the ones who seem to possess this outlook. I can't detect it from the Russians, at least not from the Russian leadership.
Feb 28, 2023·edited Feb 28, 2023Liked by Rurik Skywalker
just ignore the grifters and cranks and continue your awesome work.
I believe even 100k Ukrainian dead may be too high an estimate. Russia estimated 60k Ukrainian dead by October 2022, which was likely an exaggeration. It was probably closer to 40k. By now, after Bakhmut, it may be about 60k dead. Plus many wounded. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Casualties
Would it be too cynical to believe that everyone can choose one of the narratives thrown out into the zeitgeist like red meat given to hungry beasts. The chewing and digesting keeps the gorged fully invested in their beliefs so that the actual ghoulish agenda can advance uninterrupted. If you cut through the oversized white balloon, it becomes clear that those who appear to be adversaries are actually collegues. In fact, multipolarism might be a guise for regional controls that'll more effectively centralize the biosecurity surveillance state. Btw, China and Russia are all-in on the mRNA gene therapy experimental vaccines, CRISPR and all the other transhumanist goblin stuff. And let's not forget, the recent "Arms Covention" in the UAE where Israel and Russia were peddling weapons by saying they were battle tested.
I think about this a lot. On the one hand the west and russia/china seem to be in an existential struggle against each other, but somehow they pursue the same polices and want the same endgoals. All complicit in lockdowns, mrna-vaccines, all developing cbdc's at the same time, all implementing a technological control grid. It seems like all the world is converging on these plans, with regional flavors like russia not promoting lgbtq.
Is this coordinated, or is this just a natural way in which governments try to increase power over their population?
It's not natural because these policies are not just meant to control the population, they are already doing that, but to weaken the nation in order to enable outside, centralized control. The leaders of countries aren't stupid. The puppets may be, but these plans have a lot of intelligence behind them. Why would anyone agree to weaken their own nation unless they were in the thrall of some higher agenda? I guess the same fear that is driving us is also driving them, with the hidden hand alone exercizing real agency.
The transnationalist criminals are protected by the security state. These creeps have "no" loyalty to any country. They're concerned with maintaining power and wealth. They know neoliberal exploitation was causing mass outrage. Remember, prior to COVID there were hundreds, maybe thousands of protests on every continent. There's no interest in offering concessions. They want you to own nothing and be happy. How does that happen unless they create a Stalinist biosecurity surveillance state. Since 9/11, the fascist agenda has intensified. COVID and the Ukraine conflict just advanced the operation and exposed that it's a worldwide synchronized project.
Good points and I agree with Hans and Charlotte’s comments below too. I am not as pessimistic as Rolo about Russian slowness in making a large enough offensive to be victorious for several reasons. There are reasons for the weak responses, but ultimately the rulers controlling the planet will not allow it to be blown up by the Western psychopaths. Yes, it is all coordinated.
1. China has now officially joined the war effort, which brings industrialized ability to make drones, satellites, ammo, etc. They have a 2 million man army that could benefit from some experience. They just are not going to allow NATO to overtake Russia, which has needed natural resources. China hates US, as has been made clear in position papers last week. They have just been biding their time while building Navy and space force.
2. I believe Putin to be very smart and determined to win. He is willing to join up with China even though there are philosophical and political differences in order to win. But national elected leaders must deal with the oligarchs, as Rolo has so well pointed out, so decisions are complex and made behind the scenes that ordinary people are not privy to. The oligarchs rank above Putin and MOD in power. They need the elected puppets to direct the militaries.
3. Above the oligarchs is a small ruling group that both sides must obey. Some believe it is black nobility families like the Rockefellers and Rothschilds. In WW II they funded both sides. The Bush dynasty is known for that too. They all meet with families and key Oligarchs at weapons conferences, Davos, and on private large yachts.
4. There is a group above the families that meet monthly in Antarctica bases. That’s why John Kerry flew to Antarctica on the day that Hillary Clinton lost the election to Trump. To get new instructions. These are the bosses that give instructions to Putin and Biden. In order to prolong the war and sell profitable weapons, cause suffering and death, sometimes they force decisions that weaken one sides’s position. The leaders will be killed or removed if they disobey. That’s where the higher agenda is dictated from that Hans below mentions
It feels like it's a coordinated effort. The ghouls fight among themselves, but they're extremely fearful of the exploited billions on every continent.
Just listened, very interesting. I can recommend the Jesse Zurawell interview with Iain Davis where they explore the same topic. Iain Davis has also written a series on this.
Yes, lain Davis is anothrer journalist who has written about the "war against humanity " by the worldwide ruling elite. Many of these scoundrels remain anonymous and use frontmen such as politicians to do their dirty work. Also check out Whitney Webb and her website:
In regards to muh mobilization Russia could call up a million more guys and it wouldn't matter. MoD literally cant even equip the guys its already mobilized. Its true that lots of the mobiki that were called up aren't at the front but it isn't because they are being held in reserve for Le Grand Offensive its because Russia cant equip them properly for even light infantry work. Remember equipping the mobiki was pushed off onto the regions, the regions more or less didnt do a good job, MoD cant help, and nothing is being done about it.
Mobilizing guys isnt just calling them up and telling them its time for war, for mobilization to work you need some stuff like equipment, transportation, etc etc. Basically you need a structure to support the mobilized and this doesn't exist in Russia and it wont ever as long as the current ruling class is in place.
As for Prigozhins remarks about the ammo I would not extrapolatie from what he said that Russia has enough shells in general. He meant that production is up therefore there is no actual reason to reduce the amount Wagner was receiving. Being able to maintain the levels units are receiving is one thing, its entirely another matter whether or not there is actually enough to meet the needs of the whole front. Especially if we are doing muh attrition which would require every unit to be as well as supplied as Wagner. Russias production is enough to keep Wagner moving, its not enough for anything else.
When it comes to China is it really in their interest to help Russia too much? Russias ruling class is so pro Western that can we truly say with confidence it would be a good idea to help them? Russias performance in the SMO has been so appallingly awful that we have talk of attacking Transnistria, Serbia is capitulating on Kosovo apparently, the Ukrainians are dead serious about re-taking Crimea and well generally nobody is scared of Russia anymore. They have no credibility as far as being a reliable partner for defense. Whatever they earned in Syria is totally pissed away now. And its all self inflicted, all of it. Its all because those who hold power in Russia are more loyal to the West than Russia. Given all that I can see China at absolute best helping Russia avoid total defeat but not much more. Russias elite would happily turn on China to please their dear Western Partners in a post Putin Russia if the Oligarchs manage to take sole control of the country again like in the 90s. Im sure Xi knows that.
Everything sucks, everything looks grim and I unironically want both MoD and MoFA declared undesirable organizations of foreign influence in Russia. Seriously.
That's not even touching on transport by the way. Like the mobiki generally have no transport assets what so ever. They aren't going anywhere fast under any circumstances. Good thing that modern WW1 5th generation hybrid attritional warfare doesnt call for any rapid movements.
But good on the general for being hetero. At least Russia still has that locked down if nothing else.
No big winter offensive. Just static positional bleeding. It's all very depressing, and it starts to look like what we would expect to see if the 'Putin is controlled by them' crowd is correct. I still don't think that's the case, but whatever illusions I had about a real rebirth in Russia have been shattered. It would seem that not even Putin is ready to do what needs to be done and do it ahead of time. How do you start a war of choice without untying the 1 year conscript rotations knot? Was nothing learned from the Chechnya war?
The war was started ON THE DAY they rolled back the Covid hoax (which Vlad also participated in).. The West couldn't have asked for better timing. It enabled them to continue the tyranny without losing a single step. In 2021 all the bad things in the world was blamed on Covid, since then all bad things have been blamed on Russia. How convenient!
You're expecting way too much, from yourself as well as others.
Every analysis contains some germs of truth, some flights of speculation and some conclusions. Only the first, as far as can be determined, are worth taking seriously. The last 2 are for entertainment and stimulation. You must take these latter with a grain of salt: in the end it's up to the reader to put the available facts together competently, with some disagreement with the writer to be expected. It's a nooby's mistake to count on anyone else to do that for you. Good for you, if you're right this time, but I'd hold that a mature reader ought to have been aware of the propagandistic elements in the sources you criticized from the outset, as well as similar elements in your own. (Admittedly, this is a very jaundiced view of the overall level of public discourse.)
As the saying goes, if you meet the Buddha on the road, kill him.
I wonder what Russia should do now? Russia did go in soft to avoid "Fraternal, brotherly" slav deaths. Look what it got them. Should Russian not have invaded? I guess if Biolabs on the border, a full scale invasion into the donbass and then Crimea, NATO missile weapons on their border and probably nukes at some point was of no concern to Russia, then no, they should have stayed put.
Russia's strategy of death by attrition and its attitude now, "well, we tried, nobody cares, the west wants us destroyed, so now everyone who fights is our enemy, Slav or not."
Imagine USA making a little military incursion into Mexico (assuming corrupt drug lords now fully run the country) and then all of a sudden China, Russia, Iran, Belarus, South Africa, Brazil, North Korea, Cuba...well, maybe not Cuba. pump in a few hundred billion, sanction, disparage USA to the world and gang up for a lynching...what would be the US response?
Here is what it would be: Missiles, tanks, bombers, Naval ships and every weapon of destruction would be laid upon Mexico until it either surrendered or was a hulking ruin. The countries that supplied weapons to Mexico would have their capital cities in ruins after the first week and the remainder of their cities by the end of the month.
But wait, Mexicans are USA neighbors and we share millions of common relationships and heritage. Yeah, and? You fight the USA or threaten it and you are destroyed.
You don't compare what Russia is or has done in a vaccum, you compare it to what the hegemon would do in a similar scenario.
I should share this perspective from an military operational perspective; that the delay in any major Russian offensive operations is due to an ongoing re-organisation of forces away from adhoc battalion tactical groups back into their parent brigades and divisions again while also incorporating the newly mobilised into those formations. While I would prefer that this sort of thing happened before the 'SMO' began, it is always true that wars are fought with the army you actually have, not the army you wish to have nor the army described in your fancy doctrinal white-paper.
I would wonder why one would need to gloat about anything, much less this? I remember reading here on this blog that in his speech, Putin would declare an end to the SMO & announce a scaling down of operations to an “anti-terrorist” something or other. Was that a prediction given here or was it not? Shit man, am I no longer a Slav? Well I know I aint no Albanian because I can name the village both my parents come from in the Serbian Podrinja highlands around Valjevo, but you can’t. But so what? And so what about what 5D chess people are saying? If they are so wrong, then why is there a need to constantly prove them wrong & then to boot – “gloat”. You’ll say I’m missing something, or just another 5D idiot. I’ll say what I have said since the beginning of the SMO, that behind the scenes there are going to be a whole load of dirty dealing, some of which will be obvious, some won’t, but what will remain a main issue in Putin’s mind to me at least, is the escalation factor. Now those that believe the risk of escalation of direct war with the US is increasing as this Ukraine grind continues do not understand a thing. Those that believe that escalation with the US/NATO would have been avoided by a swift Russian victory……well, what can I say? You think you understand the world & how it turns? Think again. And while doing so, ask yourselves this? Why is the Kremlin bothering to conduct this war/not-a-war anyway? Rather than hear about gloating over the millionth correct prediction, or however many it has been by now, I would like to hear why Putin did not announce surrender when he gave his address? Because if I was judging by what was being said here, at this blog, that is the main prediction that should have materialised. And yet it didn’t. Why didn’t it? Is there an answer for that question, or just more trolling of 5D chessers – whatever & whoever they are?
Man, I spent the whole 2022 reading the saker guys and some pro-russian americans like Mcgregor and Ritter, as I am not retarded I very soon realized those guys were lying or had no idea about the situation, and even I, who knows nothing about war, got to realize things on the front were not as pretty as they said, for god's sake they all the time make a victory out of obvious defeat, I war forced to read pro ukrainian/usa/nato guys to have a better picture of the issue and in deed those guys were a better source than the pro russian side wtf! perhaps you'been the only pro russian who is sane and I really appreciate your blog entries.
Ritter is so ridiculously culturally liberal, and can't shut up about that. He brings that crap up all the time about he's so edgy by being somewhat pro-Russia but also pro abortion, gay buttsex, and pro gun control. I mean fine whatever, but without fail somehow he brings that up. He even kind of ruined the Viktor Bout interview because Bout would bring up the Trans/homo degeneracy as to why America is heading down the toilet (a completely valid point), and Ritter gave him awkward silence because he's pro gay and trans.
Anyway, I'm still listening to the Duran just because they do have some well informed takes, but yeah i'm about to quit because they are constantly making excuses for Russia while interpreting the Ukraine's moves in the worst possible light. Sad.
Sure, the 5D crowd are about as rational as in their former lives as the Q crowd. They need to believe in a savior, and nobody's gonna tell them he's not on his way.
But I think it's equally irrational to believe that Putin and the Russian ruling class are really this incompetent, or that the MoD really thought their troops would be greeted as liberators.
It's been patently obvious from day one that Russia isn't in Ukraine to 'win' anything. Everyone's choosing to ignore exactly what's most obviously happening, which is that what both sides are doing intentionally is killing Christian Slavs by the thousands every week, and annihilating Christian Slav cities and towns in a scorched-earth campaign that's certain to leave almost no one remaining in Eastern Ukraine.
And everyone desperately peddles fantasies that one way or another try to claim that what's happening isn't what's intended. Ignore the fact that Zelensky, Putin, Netanyahu, Blinken, and many others involved are all members of Chabad, and all bank with the Rothschilds. Don't dare mention that the Bolsheviks were the Khazars, and the Zelensky regime and the London and DC regimes are controlled by the Khazars. No, they couldn't possibly be secretly cooperating to wipe out the Slavs, even though that's what's happening, and what the Khazars vowed to do a long time ago.
China and India buy Russian oil on discount, everyone knows this. Less known is the fact that they buy all the Russian export commodities on discount : gold, silver, gemstones, nickel, aluminium, coal, semi-finished iron and steel, fertiliser, wood. These friends of Russia profit big from the friendship.
Are the MacGregors and Raevskys really what they claim to be ? Some of them may be genuine but I believe that some are disinformation operatives of the intelligence services, Western or other, and that other bloggers take an occasional coin to push narratives.
Thank you for the realistic perspective on Russia, Ukraina and the war.
Russia is just friends with Benefits ;) I'm not sure about China, they know they are next on the plate after Russia is finished so they might go down together. But i China will collapse if they can't trade with the west anymore so they are cought in vice.
People really struggle with the idea that the side they favor and is their promised liberator is imperfect or flawed.
I would say they aren't visualizing this in the proper literary paradigm: they assume their side is always the clear-eyed hero who knows what must be done and is fighting for righteousness.
A safer bet for anyone opposing an evil empire is that anyone with power on your side is more of a jaded and bitter loser (a la Thomas Covenant the Unbeliever) who doesn't really want to do any of this and is begrudgingly forced to make choices or a woefully naive type who will fumble and be abused horribly until they inevitably harden or break.
Personally, while it's miserable in many ways and not ideal, it shouldn't be blackpilling. A lot of metaphysical growth is based on the fact that people make terrible mistakes and choices on the path of evolution and thus must grow, and choices that are easy for some and very hard for others. So, Russia's leadership largely being staffed by a bunch of goblin fuck-ups who don't want a sovereign Russia, being forced into this situation, is just part of Russia's ongoing shedding of both the Soviet past and its own people's (relatively recent, last 600 years, brief momemt of clarity late tsarism, and then the dark ages of the Communist Party) historic apathy.
Or rather, "If I can't have a swift victory, then at least give me a painful one that purges my weaknesses and sins."
The 5dr's have now started talking about the "Big Springtime offensive". First it was when the ground froze over now supposedly its after or during lol rasputitsa. And same old crap about Bakhmut is the last domino to fall before the entire Ukie defence crumbles completely ignoring the Kramatorsk Slavyansk mega fortified line, oh but why wont the west just admit they've lost its all over.... Says the duran, frigen comedy.
Honestly, given the way that Russia is fighting this war, a "big" offensive during the Rasputitsa might make more sense than anything else. The mud season traditionally makes offensives hard to to perform because it makes maneuvering hard. However, the SMO way of war doesn't seem to include maneuver as a tactic (lol), but simply grinding down prepared enemy positions with artillery. In that case, the mud might provide an advantage by making it harder for the Ukrainians to reinforce positions under assault by the Russians. If the Ukrainians are forced to use only paved roads to reinforce their positions, the idea of "operational encirclement" that the 5D analysts keep going on about every time the Russians make a quarter circle around a city might actually mean something.
"How is it a victory if 2 million Ukrainians die for the cost of 1 million Russians? How is killing Ukrainians a victory against NATO at all? Ukraine isn’t in NATO. Large numbers of NATO troops and civilians aren’t dying. East Slavs are."
This is truly why I can't stand to discuss this with warmonger ghouls, they can't see this. Another win, Rolo. You're my main purveyor of war info. You can gloat :)
Yes you got this right, have got to give it to you, me instead was swayed by the 5D sirens.
The other blogger is a notorious video aggregator for the war btw. I was arguing over at his site when fatefully, which probably deep down was what I wasexpecting, I was hit by someone asking me to provide links and data.
I think the 5D problem may just be another outwardly, surface manifestation of the more profound Boomer problem.
and also Rolo!, tell your auntie Vicky that she's a big c*nt!
Good job on the predictions. You were the only blogger I know of who got this right. Not to diminish your accomplishment but it really wasn't hard to get this right just like it wasn't hard to predict that Trump was not going to cross the Rubicon.
I would add one more point: it really helps in a war (and most other difficult things) to feel you really, really have (not want) to win. The Ukrainians are the ones who seem to possess this outlook. I can't detect it from the Russians, at least not from the Russian leadership.
just ignore the grifters and cranks and continue your awesome work.
I believe even 100k Ukrainian dead may be too high an estimate. Russia estimated 60k Ukrainian dead by October 2022, which was likely an exaggeration. It was probably closer to 40k. By now, after Bakhmut, it may be about 60k dead. Plus many wounded. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Casualties
in late January, the Norwegian military estimated 100k Ukrainian dead and wounded. it's probably more, but not 100k dead. https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230122-russia-taken-180-000-dead-or-wounded-in-ukraine-norwegian-army
theres a lag where many wounded die within the first year so I think close to 100k dead and walking dead is reasonable.
Would it be too cynical to believe that everyone can choose one of the narratives thrown out into the zeitgeist like red meat given to hungry beasts. The chewing and digesting keeps the gorged fully invested in their beliefs so that the actual ghoulish agenda can advance uninterrupted. If you cut through the oversized white balloon, it becomes clear that those who appear to be adversaries are actually collegues. In fact, multipolarism might be a guise for regional controls that'll more effectively centralize the biosecurity surveillance state. Btw, China and Russia are all-in on the mRNA gene therapy experimental vaccines, CRISPR and all the other transhumanist goblin stuff. And let's not forget, the recent "Arms Covention" in the UAE where Israel and Russia were peddling weapons by saying they were battle tested.
I think about this a lot. On the one hand the west and russia/china seem to be in an existential struggle against each other, but somehow they pursue the same polices and want the same endgoals. All complicit in lockdowns, mrna-vaccines, all developing cbdc's at the same time, all implementing a technological control grid. It seems like all the world is converging on these plans, with regional flavors like russia not promoting lgbtq.
Is this coordinated, or is this just a natural way in which governments try to increase power over their population?
It's not natural because these policies are not just meant to control the population, they are already doing that, but to weaken the nation in order to enable outside, centralized control. The leaders of countries aren't stupid. The puppets may be, but these plans have a lot of intelligence behind them. Why would anyone agree to weaken their own nation unless they were in the thrall of some higher agenda? I guess the same fear that is driving us is also driving them, with the hidden hand alone exercizing real agency.
The transnationalist criminals are protected by the security state. These creeps have "no" loyalty to any country. They're concerned with maintaining power and wealth. They know neoliberal exploitation was causing mass outrage. Remember, prior to COVID there were hundreds, maybe thousands of protests on every continent. There's no interest in offering concessions. They want you to own nothing and be happy. How does that happen unless they create a Stalinist biosecurity surveillance state. Since 9/11, the fascist agenda has intensified. COVID and the Ukraine conflict just advanced the operation and exposed that it's a worldwide synchronized project.
Good points and I agree with Hans and Charlotte’s comments below too. I am not as pessimistic as Rolo about Russian slowness in making a large enough offensive to be victorious for several reasons. There are reasons for the weak responses, but ultimately the rulers controlling the planet will not allow it to be blown up by the Western psychopaths. Yes, it is all coordinated.
1. China has now officially joined the war effort, which brings industrialized ability to make drones, satellites, ammo, etc. They have a 2 million man army that could benefit from some experience. They just are not going to allow NATO to overtake Russia, which has needed natural resources. China hates US, as has been made clear in position papers last week. They have just been biding their time while building Navy and space force.
2. I believe Putin to be very smart and determined to win. He is willing to join up with China even though there are philosophical and political differences in order to win. But national elected leaders must deal with the oligarchs, as Rolo has so well pointed out, so decisions are complex and made behind the scenes that ordinary people are not privy to. The oligarchs rank above Putin and MOD in power. They need the elected puppets to direct the militaries.
3. Above the oligarchs is a small ruling group that both sides must obey. Some believe it is black nobility families like the Rockefellers and Rothschilds. In WW II they funded both sides. The Bush dynasty is known for that too. They all meet with families and key Oligarchs at weapons conferences, Davos, and on private large yachts.
4. There is a group above the families that meet monthly in Antarctica bases. That’s why John Kerry flew to Antarctica on the day that Hillary Clinton lost the election to Trump. To get new instructions. These are the bosses that give instructions to Putin and Biden. In order to prolong the war and sell profitable weapons, cause suffering and death, sometimes they force decisions that weaken one sides’s position. The leaders will be killed or removed if they disobey. That’s where the higher agenda is dictated from that Hans below mentions
It feels like it's a coordinated effort. The ghouls fight among themselves, but they're extremely fearful of the exploited billions on every continent.
Here's an insightful discussion about this dilemma: Isa Blumi on Perspective with Jesse Zurawell - 28 February 2023 : https://tntradiolive.podbean.com/e/isa-blumi-on-perspective-with-jesse-zurawell-28-february-2023/
Just listened, very interesting. I can recommend the Jesse Zurawell interview with Iain Davis where they explore the same topic. Iain Davis has also written a series on this.
Yes, lain Davis is anothrer journalist who has written about the "war against humanity " by the worldwide ruling elite. Many of these scoundrels remain anonymous and use frontmen such as politicians to do their dirty work. Also check out Whitney Webb and her website:
unlimitedhangout.com.
In regards to muh mobilization Russia could call up a million more guys and it wouldn't matter. MoD literally cant even equip the guys its already mobilized. Its true that lots of the mobiki that were called up aren't at the front but it isn't because they are being held in reserve for Le Grand Offensive its because Russia cant equip them properly for even light infantry work. Remember equipping the mobiki was pushed off onto the regions, the regions more or less didnt do a good job, MoD cant help, and nothing is being done about it.
Mobilizing guys isnt just calling them up and telling them its time for war, for mobilization to work you need some stuff like equipment, transportation, etc etc. Basically you need a structure to support the mobilized and this doesn't exist in Russia and it wont ever as long as the current ruling class is in place.
As for Prigozhins remarks about the ammo I would not extrapolatie from what he said that Russia has enough shells in general. He meant that production is up therefore there is no actual reason to reduce the amount Wagner was receiving. Being able to maintain the levels units are receiving is one thing, its entirely another matter whether or not there is actually enough to meet the needs of the whole front. Especially if we are doing muh attrition which would require every unit to be as well as supplied as Wagner. Russias production is enough to keep Wagner moving, its not enough for anything else.
When it comes to China is it really in their interest to help Russia too much? Russias ruling class is so pro Western that can we truly say with confidence it would be a good idea to help them? Russias performance in the SMO has been so appallingly awful that we have talk of attacking Transnistria, Serbia is capitulating on Kosovo apparently, the Ukrainians are dead serious about re-taking Crimea and well generally nobody is scared of Russia anymore. They have no credibility as far as being a reliable partner for defense. Whatever they earned in Syria is totally pissed away now. And its all self inflicted, all of it. Its all because those who hold power in Russia are more loyal to the West than Russia. Given all that I can see China at absolute best helping Russia avoid total defeat but not much more. Russias elite would happily turn on China to please their dear Western Partners in a post Putin Russia if the Oligarchs manage to take sole control of the country again like in the 90s. Im sure Xi knows that.
Everything sucks, everything looks grim and I unironically want both MoD and MoFA declared undesirable organizations of foreign influence in Russia. Seriously.
I haven't heard that supplying the infantry is still a problem. Maybe it is, I just haven't heard fresh complaints.
Mobiki are still complaining about lack of shovels and body armour.
Oh, that is unfortunate.
Meanwhile that general is sending naked snapchats to escorts in Minsk lol.
That's not even touching on transport by the way. Like the mobiki generally have no transport assets what so ever. They aren't going anywhere fast under any circumstances. Good thing that modern WW1 5th generation hybrid attritional warfare doesnt call for any rapid movements.
But good on the general for being hetero. At least Russia still has that locked down if nothing else.
No big winter offensive. Just static positional bleeding. It's all very depressing, and it starts to look like what we would expect to see if the 'Putin is controlled by them' crowd is correct. I still don't think that's the case, but whatever illusions I had about a real rebirth in Russia have been shattered. It would seem that not even Putin is ready to do what needs to be done and do it ahead of time. How do you start a war of choice without untying the 1 year conscript rotations knot? Was nothing learned from the Chechnya war?
The war was started ON THE DAY they rolled back the Covid hoax (which Vlad also participated in).. The West couldn't have asked for better timing. It enabled them to continue the tyranny without losing a single step. In 2021 all the bad things in the world was blamed on Covid, since then all bad things have been blamed on Russia. How convenient!
You're expecting way too much, from yourself as well as others.
Every analysis contains some germs of truth, some flights of speculation and some conclusions. Only the first, as far as can be determined, are worth taking seriously. The last 2 are for entertainment and stimulation. You must take these latter with a grain of salt: in the end it's up to the reader to put the available facts together competently, with some disagreement with the writer to be expected. It's a nooby's mistake to count on anyone else to do that for you. Good for you, if you're right this time, but I'd hold that a mature reader ought to have been aware of the propagandistic elements in the sources you criticized from the outset, as well as similar elements in your own. (Admittedly, this is a very jaundiced view of the overall level of public discourse.)
As the saying goes, if you meet the Buddha on the road, kill him.
I wonder what Russia should do now? Russia did go in soft to avoid "Fraternal, brotherly" slav deaths. Look what it got them. Should Russian not have invaded? I guess if Biolabs on the border, a full scale invasion into the donbass and then Crimea, NATO missile weapons on their border and probably nukes at some point was of no concern to Russia, then no, they should have stayed put.
Russia's strategy of death by attrition and its attitude now, "well, we tried, nobody cares, the west wants us destroyed, so now everyone who fights is our enemy, Slav or not."
Imagine USA making a little military incursion into Mexico (assuming corrupt drug lords now fully run the country) and then all of a sudden China, Russia, Iran, Belarus, South Africa, Brazil, North Korea, Cuba...well, maybe not Cuba. pump in a few hundred billion, sanction, disparage USA to the world and gang up for a lynching...what would be the US response?
Here is what it would be: Missiles, tanks, bombers, Naval ships and every weapon of destruction would be laid upon Mexico until it either surrendered or was a hulking ruin. The countries that supplied weapons to Mexico would have their capital cities in ruins after the first week and the remainder of their cities by the end of the month.
But wait, Mexicans are USA neighbors and we share millions of common relationships and heritage. Yeah, and? You fight the USA or threaten it and you are destroyed.
You don't compare what Russia is or has done in a vaccum, you compare it to what the hegemon would do in a similar scenario.
I should share this perspective from an military operational perspective; that the delay in any major Russian offensive operations is due to an ongoing re-organisation of forces away from adhoc battalion tactical groups back into their parent brigades and divisions again while also incorporating the newly mobilised into those formations. While I would prefer that this sort of thing happened before the 'SMO' began, it is always true that wars are fought with the army you actually have, not the army you wish to have nor the army described in your fancy doctrinal white-paper.
https://open.substack.com/pub/bigserge/p/russo-ukrainian-war-schrodingers
I would wonder why one would need to gloat about anything, much less this? I remember reading here on this blog that in his speech, Putin would declare an end to the SMO & announce a scaling down of operations to an “anti-terrorist” something or other. Was that a prediction given here or was it not? Shit man, am I no longer a Slav? Well I know I aint no Albanian because I can name the village both my parents come from in the Serbian Podrinja highlands around Valjevo, but you can’t. But so what? And so what about what 5D chess people are saying? If they are so wrong, then why is there a need to constantly prove them wrong & then to boot – “gloat”. You’ll say I’m missing something, or just another 5D idiot. I’ll say what I have said since the beginning of the SMO, that behind the scenes there are going to be a whole load of dirty dealing, some of which will be obvious, some won’t, but what will remain a main issue in Putin’s mind to me at least, is the escalation factor. Now those that believe the risk of escalation of direct war with the US is increasing as this Ukraine grind continues do not understand a thing. Those that believe that escalation with the US/NATO would have been avoided by a swift Russian victory……well, what can I say? You think you understand the world & how it turns? Think again. And while doing so, ask yourselves this? Why is the Kremlin bothering to conduct this war/not-a-war anyway? Rather than hear about gloating over the millionth correct prediction, or however many it has been by now, I would like to hear why Putin did not announce surrender when he gave his address? Because if I was judging by what was being said here, at this blog, that is the main prediction that should have materialised. And yet it didn’t. Why didn’t it? Is there an answer for that question, or just more trolling of 5D chessers – whatever & whoever they are?
Man, I spent the whole 2022 reading the saker guys and some pro-russian americans like Mcgregor and Ritter, as I am not retarded I very soon realized those guys were lying or had no idea about the situation, and even I, who knows nothing about war, got to realize things on the front were not as pretty as they said, for god's sake they all the time make a victory out of obvious defeat, I war forced to read pro ukrainian/usa/nato guys to have a better picture of the issue and in deed those guys were a better source than the pro russian side wtf! perhaps you'been the only pro russian who is sane and I really appreciate your blog entries.
Ritter is so ridiculously culturally liberal, and can't shut up about that. He brings that crap up all the time about he's so edgy by being somewhat pro-Russia but also pro abortion, gay buttsex, and pro gun control. I mean fine whatever, but without fail somehow he brings that up. He even kind of ruined the Viktor Bout interview because Bout would bring up the Trans/homo degeneracy as to why America is heading down the toilet (a completely valid point), and Ritter gave him awkward silence because he's pro gay and trans.
Anyway, I'm still listening to the Duran just because they do have some well informed takes, but yeah i'm about to quit because they are constantly making excuses for Russia while interpreting the Ukraine's moves in the worst possible light. Sad.
"I was right" is relative, Rolo.
Sure, the 5D crowd are about as rational as in their former lives as the Q crowd. They need to believe in a savior, and nobody's gonna tell them he's not on his way.
But I think it's equally irrational to believe that Putin and the Russian ruling class are really this incompetent, or that the MoD really thought their troops would be greeted as liberators.
It's been patently obvious from day one that Russia isn't in Ukraine to 'win' anything. Everyone's choosing to ignore exactly what's most obviously happening, which is that what both sides are doing intentionally is killing Christian Slavs by the thousands every week, and annihilating Christian Slav cities and towns in a scorched-earth campaign that's certain to leave almost no one remaining in Eastern Ukraine.
And everyone desperately peddles fantasies that one way or another try to claim that what's happening isn't what's intended. Ignore the fact that Zelensky, Putin, Netanyahu, Blinken, and many others involved are all members of Chabad, and all bank with the Rothschilds. Don't dare mention that the Bolsheviks were the Khazars, and the Zelensky regime and the London and DC regimes are controlled by the Khazars. No, they couldn't possibly be secretly cooperating to wipe out the Slavs, even though that's what's happening, and what the Khazars vowed to do a long time ago.
Remember Occam's razor, Rolo?
Khazars dont exist.