He's sort of like Prigozhin in that he drops these truth bombs amongst tons of BS. I know I wouldnt have thought much of that statement even 5or6 years ago but it aged well "Anglo-Saxons" aside.
As for the war I don't see either side being capable of a straight military victory. The Kremlin wants to lose politically, a military defeat is probably to scary for them to consider right now. The VSU can only win a straight military victory with massive help from MoD and that will require MoD showing their hand to a greater extent. The Kremlin has made damn sure Russia likewise cant win militarily but the past month has shown even underequipped outnumbered mobiki can hold the line more or less if MoD isn't knifing them in the back too much.
My theory is MoD holding off on shanking the army lately is a way to get Zog west to offer the Kremlin a political defeat that they can try and sell the Russian peasants which in practice will be as bad as a military defeat but not as impossible to sell to the dumber peasantry. Selling a an unambiguous military defeat is a much taller order than minsk 3 with extra sell outs and the Kremlin might well see it as a genuine red line because it is a death sentence for them personally. In effect they are desperate for the political defeat soft landing.
If the peace talk carrots are just a weapon to buy time and encourage more MoD sabotage of the Army aka goodwill than this is all just legit full spectrum Clausewitzian warfare warfare against Russia. Whether it works out in its totality depends on if the Kremlin has a red line in regards to how much it will sabotage its own Army to enable further big arrow advances for Ukraine. If they do have such a redline than they might get the soft landing political defeat. If not than Russia might see regime change for the worst and dissolution in the not distant future. If thats the case, and it might well be than its good news Utkin and his marry band are on standby.
Jul 7, 2023ยทedited Jul 7, 2023Liked by Rurik Skywalker
Spooks & Crooksโฆitโs so perfect. Iโm thinking of the United States monsters of D.C., of course. But the same truly applies to all of the bought leadership, worldwide; Canada, Israel, France, England, China, Iranโฆevery country on Earth where we slaves find themselves pinned up against โunfairโ Game & Trade demilitarized (CIA-militarized) death-zoned boarder-walls. Itโs all such a bloody fraud, and Iโm so damn sick of the โpeopleโ having to suffer & pay for it every generation, indefinitely. If I ever get my way, weโre building a high-speed, autopilot, magnetic, independent-vehicle rail system (think mini-aircraft fuselage without wings; no more trains) between Alaska and Russia, with the two-way system floating right over the water on elevated pylonsโฆand then, let the fair-trade games begin. Iโve a dream, you spooks & crooks. Seriously.
Regardless of the negations being deceptive which I agree they will be that could easily put us into 2024 territory of the NOT War. That will be US election year and even though it's all BS if a Republican President gets in that does potentially change the dynamic with Ukraine ie the money stops and then the war could stop. That's IF as they may again steal the election and put the man in diapers back in the White House or one of the puppets. Whether its team Pepsi or Coke that could then finally cause mass civil unrest in the US. It's a question more of who blinks first as both countries are on the edge of breaking up just walk around LA or NY and you think the US is still a superpower? No just those who are fatting up their wallets which is so divorced from one nation.
I'd argue though that your everyman Russian doesn't want to go back to the chaos of the 90s. The US has never had something of that magnitude afflict its population yet but it may very well happen in the future. The chaos we are seeing is all by design case in point France. When you divide a population and have its people at one another's throats they're so much easier to control after all. By luck I'm still of the mind the US may blink first and if that happens the inaction of Russia may very well end in its favour. We already see the end of the Dollar being the reserve currency and that is just the cherry on top of US global decline.
Excellent piece, Rolo. I'm looking forward to further expositions on this subject. IMO Luka is the wild card in all of this. Lavrov meeting with the CFR looks an awful lot like someone getting their marching orders from one of Globohomo's key groups.
Like you, Rolo, I believe that the diplomatic discussions about a potential peace are deceptive. Americans play poker and they approach diplomacy while hiding their hand and their true objectives hence every agreement with them is respected only in as much as they see fit. Conversely European countries have always been open about their aims and means because they want periods of peace and constructive relationships in-between wars. Wherever Americans dominate the show, it is either servitude or permanent alert.
Wagner is in White Russia. I am afraid that they may be used to topple Lukashenko and replace him with his Putin-endorsed rival, Babariko, the former president of Gazprombank's White Russian subsidiary. Such a coup is feasible if they still have allegiance with the GRU.
Speaking of Arestovich did you see this:
๐๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ข ๐ค๐ฆ๐ณ๐ต๐ข๐ช๐ฏ ๐ด๐ถ๐ฃ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต ๐ช๐ฏ ๐๐บ๐ช๐ท ๐ฏ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฐ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ฉ. ๐๐ฏ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ช๐จ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต, ๐ด๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ต, ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ค๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฆ๐ณ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ด๐ต ๐ญ๐ช๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ญ๐บ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ณ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด, ๐ง๐ข๐ช๐ต๐ฉ๐ง๐ถ๐ญ๐ญ๐บ ๐๐ถ๐ฉ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ก๐ฆ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ด๐ฌ๐บ. ๐๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ช๐ฎ๐ฆ, ๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐ด ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ข๐ฏ-๐ด๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฑ๐ช๐ต๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ข๐ฏ๐ต๐ณ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ถ๐ญ๐ช๐ด๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ฐ๐ฎ-๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ด๐ต ๐ฑ๐ข๐ณ๐ต ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ. ๐ ๐ข๐ฎ ๐ด๐ถ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฐ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ฉ, ๐ข๐ด ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ถ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ฐ๐ฏ, ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฑ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ญ๐บ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฑ๐ช๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐๐ฌ๐ณ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ข๐ฏ ๐ณ๐ข๐จ๐ถ๐ญ๐ด, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฉ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฎ.
๐๐ฐ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ด๐ช๐ด ๐ข๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฐ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ฉ, ๐ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฅ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ฅ 2009 (๐ด๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ๐ค๐ฆ) :
"๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ๐ฐ-๐๐ข๐น๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ข ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ธ ๐๐ณ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ ๐๐ข๐ณ ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ข - ๐ข๐ด ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฅ๐ช๐ด๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ข๐ฏ ๐ฃ๐ณ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฉ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ค๐ช๐ท๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ป๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ.
๐๐ง ๐ค๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ๐ด๐ฆ, ๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐บ, ๐๐ฌ๐ณ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ด ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ข ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐จ๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐ข ๐ซ๐ฐ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต ๐ข๐ฏ๐ด๐ธ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ฅ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ข๐ณ๐บ.
๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ค๐ถ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐๐ฌ๐ณ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฏ ๐ฃ๐บ ๐ข ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ-๐๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฏ ๐จ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต, ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ข ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ-๐๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฏ ๐จ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ช๐ด ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ข ๐ช๐ต๐ด๐ฆ๐ญ๐ง.
๐๐ฐ ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ข๐ด๐ด๐ฐ๐ค๐ช๐ข๐ต๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ.
๐๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฆ, ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ง๐ถ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ฆ, ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ข๐ฏ๐ด ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ค๐ฉ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ๐ฐ-๐๐ข๐น๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฃ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ช๐ณ ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ด
https://t.me/TELEKANALSTALINGRAD/18960
He's sort of like Prigozhin in that he drops these truth bombs amongst tons of BS. I know I wouldnt have thought much of that statement even 5or6 years ago but it aged well "Anglo-Saxons" aside.
As for the war I don't see either side being capable of a straight military victory. The Kremlin wants to lose politically, a military defeat is probably to scary for them to consider right now. The VSU can only win a straight military victory with massive help from MoD and that will require MoD showing their hand to a greater extent. The Kremlin has made damn sure Russia likewise cant win militarily but the past month has shown even underequipped outnumbered mobiki can hold the line more or less if MoD isn't knifing them in the back too much.
My theory is MoD holding off on shanking the army lately is a way to get Zog west to offer the Kremlin a political defeat that they can try and sell the Russian peasants which in practice will be as bad as a military defeat but not as impossible to sell to the dumber peasantry. Selling a an unambiguous military defeat is a much taller order than minsk 3 with extra sell outs and the Kremlin might well see it as a genuine red line because it is a death sentence for them personally. In effect they are desperate for the political defeat soft landing.
If the peace talk carrots are just a weapon to buy time and encourage more MoD sabotage of the Army aka goodwill than this is all just legit full spectrum Clausewitzian warfare warfare against Russia. Whether it works out in its totality depends on if the Kremlin has a red line in regards to how much it will sabotage its own Army to enable further big arrow advances for Ukraine. If they do have such a redline than they might get the soft landing political defeat. If not than Russia might see regime change for the worst and dissolution in the not distant future. If thats the case, and it might well be than its good news Utkin and his marry band are on standby.
Spooks & Crooksโฆitโs so perfect. Iโm thinking of the United States monsters of D.C., of course. But the same truly applies to all of the bought leadership, worldwide; Canada, Israel, France, England, China, Iranโฆevery country on Earth where we slaves find themselves pinned up against โunfairโ Game & Trade demilitarized (CIA-militarized) death-zoned boarder-walls. Itโs all such a bloody fraud, and Iโm so damn sick of the โpeopleโ having to suffer & pay for it every generation, indefinitely. If I ever get my way, weโre building a high-speed, autopilot, magnetic, independent-vehicle rail system (think mini-aircraft fuselage without wings; no more trains) between Alaska and Russia, with the two-way system floating right over the water on elevated pylonsโฆand then, let the fair-trade games begin. Iโve a dream, you spooks & crooks. Seriously.
Regardless of the negations being deceptive which I agree they will be that could easily put us into 2024 territory of the NOT War. That will be US election year and even though it's all BS if a Republican President gets in that does potentially change the dynamic with Ukraine ie the money stops and then the war could stop. That's IF as they may again steal the election and put the man in diapers back in the White House or one of the puppets. Whether its team Pepsi or Coke that could then finally cause mass civil unrest in the US. It's a question more of who blinks first as both countries are on the edge of breaking up just walk around LA or NY and you think the US is still a superpower? No just those who are fatting up their wallets which is so divorced from one nation.
I'd argue though that your everyman Russian doesn't want to go back to the chaos of the 90s. The US has never had something of that magnitude afflict its population yet but it may very well happen in the future. The chaos we are seeing is all by design case in point France. When you divide a population and have its people at one another's throats they're so much easier to control after all. By luck I'm still of the mind the US may blink first and if that happens the inaction of Russia may very well end in its favour. We already see the end of the Dollar being the reserve currency and that is just the cherry on top of US global decline.
Excellent piece, Rolo. I'm looking forward to further expositions on this subject. IMO Luka is the wild card in all of this. Lavrov meeting with the CFR looks an awful lot like someone getting their marching orders from one of Globohomo's key groups.
Like you, Rolo, I believe that the diplomatic discussions about a potential peace are deceptive. Americans play poker and they approach diplomacy while hiding their hand and their true objectives hence every agreement with them is respected only in as much as they see fit. Conversely European countries have always been open about their aims and means because they want periods of peace and constructive relationships in-between wars. Wherever Americans dominate the show, it is either servitude or permanent alert.
Wagner is in White Russia. I am afraid that they may be used to topple Lukashenko and replace him with his Putin-endorsed rival, Babariko, the former president of Gazprombank's White Russian subsidiary. Such a coup is feasible if they still have allegiance with the GRU.
Rolo I am setting an Intreview with a good guy from Portugal. He should have contacted you via mail.