I'd be more worried if there was news about "strategic withdrawals" or other news similar to what happened in Kherson. If they aren't giving up their positions, I'm just going to assume that Russia believes they do have the manpower to hold the line.
It also feels like this "last hurrah" offensive against Russia is directed at the Western audience who's very apathetic to the war at this point and is becoming more resentful of it. There are also deep US political forces that want to switch the focus to China and Taiwan (CSIS published a paper advocating for this), so this latest Ukrainian offensive could be that crowd of the deep state asserting that they still want to keep this Ukraine thing going a bit more.
I guess we'll just have to wait and find out what the hell is going on.
I don't see any variant where Russia retreats and Putin keeps whatever power he currently has. Retreat in the South/South West and Ukraine in striking distance of Crimea. Give up Bakhmut, Soldar, Lichansk and Sever Donetsk? If Vladlen Tartarskys murder really was associated with controlling the info to Putin than perhaps bringing about such a retreat is exactly what the liberals are trying to do? Lose the war and get rid of Putin? Because that is a straight defeat we are talking about. There is literally nowhere left to retreat that allows the somewhat patriotic crook faction to survive politically. Retreat means the liberals have won.
If the Putinist for lack of a better term give up Bakhmut, Soldar etc you are going to have the spectacle of the police busting the heads of protesting SMO verterans including Wagner guys. Prigozhin despite his flaws has always kept ranks with his own guys when they are expressing righteous anger. I assume the Putinist signing off on surrendering their very, very hard won gains in the East isnt something he is going to let pass with expressing serious fury and he wont counter signal his men flipping out about it. Prigozhin will back the guys who skulls the police will need to crack. Any shred of tolerance the Patriots give the Putinist will be gone for good. They will be utterly alone and isolated.
Surrendering the South and presumably the land corridor to crimea wouldnt entail confrontation with Prigozhin directly and I imagine the Putinist will try and spin holding crimea itself as the great victory that denazifis Ukraine. Of course that is only if Russia only loses the land corridor and what they have right now in Kherson. But even that best case of holding Crimea itself and spinning it as winning the war also entails losing all of Patriotic Russias tolerance for the Putinist.
The only difference between the 2 retreat scenarios I see is the 1st might create outright revolutionary instability fast and the second will just be a basic political death sentence for the Putinist. Either way Putins crew loses everything, its just a bit slower with option 2. Maybe Im going way too far with the tinfoil here but I cant help but feel like Vladlens murder was to help make retreat and the following political death of Putin more likely. That's because Vladlen would have been on channel 1 saying exactly what Im saying here and that might give the Putinist pause about signing off on another successful regrouping.
This war has become a cluster fuck. Russia should've walked all over Ukraine toppled the Yid regime and signed a treaty with a new Slavic government. For whatever reason Russia dropped the ball at the goal post. Like an MMA fighter about to get the tap and releases his opponent. Putin better stop the bullshit and get serious. The enemy is circling his wagons and they will be merciless. Time to take of the gloves. War is about killing people and breaking things. The winner kills more and breaks more than the defeated. End of story.
Russia advancing much further is out of the question but Ukraine actually winning outright via offensive is also unlikely. That is both sides are used up pretty bad. We focus here at the chronicles a lot on Russias screw ups, shortcomings and the Moscow shit show but lets not overlook that Ukraine has also been mauled. They should have been finished off in the first month or 2 of the not war but Moscow let that slip. Now we have an impasse. Remember when Rolo wrote that Vladlens murder might have been a provocation to make peace talks less likely? Well I think that's true with a slight modification to Rolos over all thesis. I think they want Putin isolated from the mood of the troops at the front and the Russian public to the point that he is more likely to hand Ukraine another victory on the cheap. Give up more without battle, dont make the Ukrainians pay too heavy, and don't stop them to quickly. Lose a lot via retreat without battle and bury Putin politically instead fight hard for every inch like the Ukrainians currently do and perhaps even bleed Ukraine to the point where they have to start negotiating.
Here's a misanthropic thought, suppose the Ukraine conflict was triggered by depraved Globalists to accelerate a Multipolar World Order. It certainly has bonded the West and further expanded NATO and didn't it throw Russia into the arms of China creating a powerful Eurasian alliance. So in effect, multipolar hegemony is what the Grubbies really want as "regional" technocratic biosecurity hegemonic governance is much more effective at controlling billions of proles. Especially, when AI technology causes most repetitive tasks to become obsolete and all that remains are "usless" hungry rabble.
Much has happened over the past year. Your pessimism is not supported by the facts on the ground nor by the larger geopolitical moves world wide. The same arguments you cite decrying Russia's position are much more applicable to the hopeless and hapless approach of a suicidal Ukraine.
'Russian Ambassador to India Denis Alipov told the Russian-Indian Business Forum on Wednesday that his country wants to encourage more immigration from India, with the Economic Times reporting that he even “drew a comparison with the large population of Indian immigrants in Western nations.” Furthermore, the outlet cited unnamed sources to report that the two parties are seeking to put in place a Social Security Agreement for facilitating this.'
Forget about Ukraine and bickering with America, here's a real existential crisis. How long will it take to replace Russians with Hindus and Muslims? As fast as the 'J-ologarchs' want?:
"The prophecy is about 90% fulfilled, all we have to do is wait for the green light at this point."
You're in quite good company. That same was said about the Russians taking Kiev; the Russians taking Kkarkov; General Winter leading a Russian offensive in the fall of 22; the Russians taking Bakhmut; the Russians freeing Donetsk of shelling.; and now the massive Ukrainian spring offensive.
The Ukrainians don't have any special reputation for probity, so I'll folllow the same predictor that worked out so well for all the other cases: I'll believe it when I see it.
I'll go out on the same limb as before: I think that by now everybody is so deeply dug in and consolidated that all an offensive is going to do is to increase the count of мертвый человеки that Igor Konashenko cites each day.
I think you're a dumb borderline schizophrenic with a lot of insane beliefs, but in this analysis of the Russo-Ukrainian War, you are truly spot on. I will continue to hope that the universal god Jehovah (and his son Jesus Christ) intervenes and puts a quick end to this whole circus of an affair.
I'm not convinced the Ukrainians really have enough offensive know-how to push all the way to the black sea in a southern offensive. Kherson was a gimme and in Kharkov they were facing off against literal police units. We have yet to see them launch a large breakthrough attempt against a prepared, decent quality force. Still might work, but I can't help but think the Ukrainian high command is getting a bit high on their own supply.
I'd be more worried if there was news about "strategic withdrawals" or other news similar to what happened in Kherson. If they aren't giving up their positions, I'm just going to assume that Russia believes they do have the manpower to hold the line.
It also feels like this "last hurrah" offensive against Russia is directed at the Western audience who's very apathetic to the war at this point and is becoming more resentful of it. There are also deep US political forces that want to switch the focus to China and Taiwan (CSIS published a paper advocating for this), so this latest Ukrainian offensive could be that crowd of the deep state asserting that they still want to keep this Ukraine thing going a bit more.
I guess we'll just have to wait and find out what the hell is going on.
I don't see any variant where Russia retreats and Putin keeps whatever power he currently has. Retreat in the South/South West and Ukraine in striking distance of Crimea. Give up Bakhmut, Soldar, Lichansk and Sever Donetsk? If Vladlen Tartarskys murder really was associated with controlling the info to Putin than perhaps bringing about such a retreat is exactly what the liberals are trying to do? Lose the war and get rid of Putin? Because that is a straight defeat we are talking about. There is literally nowhere left to retreat that allows the somewhat patriotic crook faction to survive politically. Retreat means the liberals have won.
If the Putinist for lack of a better term give up Bakhmut, Soldar etc you are going to have the spectacle of the police busting the heads of protesting SMO verterans including Wagner guys. Prigozhin despite his flaws has always kept ranks with his own guys when they are expressing righteous anger. I assume the Putinist signing off on surrendering their very, very hard won gains in the East isnt something he is going to let pass with expressing serious fury and he wont counter signal his men flipping out about it. Prigozhin will back the guys who skulls the police will need to crack. Any shred of tolerance the Patriots give the Putinist will be gone for good. They will be utterly alone and isolated.
Surrendering the South and presumably the land corridor to crimea wouldnt entail confrontation with Prigozhin directly and I imagine the Putinist will try and spin holding crimea itself as the great victory that denazifis Ukraine. Of course that is only if Russia only loses the land corridor and what they have right now in Kherson. But even that best case of holding Crimea itself and spinning it as winning the war also entails losing all of Patriotic Russias tolerance for the Putinist.
The only difference between the 2 retreat scenarios I see is the 1st might create outright revolutionary instability fast and the second will just be a basic political death sentence for the Putinist. Either way Putins crew loses everything, its just a bit slower with option 2. Maybe Im going way too far with the tinfoil here but I cant help but feel like Vladlens murder was to help make retreat and the following political death of Putin more likely. That's because Vladlen would have been on channel 1 saying exactly what Im saying here and that might give the Putinist pause about signing off on another successful regrouping.
Smells more and more like 1917.
This war has become a cluster fuck. Russia should've walked all over Ukraine toppled the Yid regime and signed a treaty with a new Slavic government. For whatever reason Russia dropped the ball at the goal post. Like an MMA fighter about to get the tap and releases his opponent. Putin better stop the bullshit and get serious. The enemy is circling his wagons and they will be merciless. Time to take of the gloves. War is about killing people and breaking things. The winner kills more and breaks more than the defeated. End of story.
The Ukrainians at resident posted this today and it rings true to me
https://t.me/rezident_ua/17170
𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘭𝘦𝘮 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘨𝘪𝘤 𝘪𝘮𝘱𝘢𝘴𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘳, 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘩 𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘣𝘶𝘪𝘭𝘵 𝘢 𝘭𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰 𝘸𝘢𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘯. 𝘈𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘢𝘮𝘦 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦, 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘶𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘶𝘴𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘖𝘧𝘧𝘪𝘤𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘗𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘢𝘤𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦. 𝘡𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘻𝘩𝘯𝘺 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘦𝘴 𝘡𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘬𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘯𝘦𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘈𝘻𝘰𝘷 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘺, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘴𝘢𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘸𝘦 𝘥𝘰 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘸𝘦 𝘯𝘦𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘭𝘢𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘩 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘩𝘴.
𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘳 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘩 𝘎𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘥 𝘍𝘰𝘳𝘤𝘦𝘴 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 "𝘱𝘶𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘢𝘤𝘬 𝘪𝘴 𝘶𝘯𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘪𝘦𝘥" 𝘢𝘯𝘥 "𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘮𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘺 𝘦𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘧𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘵."
𝘙𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘎𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘞𝘢𝘭𝘥𝘦𝘮𝘢𝘳 𝘚𝘬𝘳𝘻𝘺𝘱𝘤𝘻𝘢𝘬 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘪𝘦𝘸 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘙𝘻𝘦𝘤𝘻𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘢 𝘯𝘦𝘸𝘴𝘱𝘢𝘱𝘦𝘳.
"𝘞𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘢 𝘮𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘺 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘧𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘯𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦. 𝘡𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘬𝘺'𝘴 𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘱 𝘵𝘰 𝘞𝘢𝘳𝘴𝘢𝘸 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘵 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵 𝘩𝘪𝘮 𝘪𝘯 𝘯𝘦𝘨𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦," 𝘚𝘬𝘳𝘻𝘺𝘱𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘬 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥.
𝘏𝘦 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘸𝘩𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘳 𝘩𝘢𝘥 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘩𝘦𝘥 𝘢 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘭𝘦𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦.
"𝘕𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘦 - 𝘸𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘥𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘨𝘪𝘤 𝘥𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘦𝘯𝘥. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘙𝘶𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘥𝘰 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘤𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘭𝘢𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘩 𝘢𝘯 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘋𝘰𝘯𝘣𝘢𝘴𝘴. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭 𝘰𝘳𝘨𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘻𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘥𝘰𝘦𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘙𝘶𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘢 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦. 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦, 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘢 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘨𝘪𝘤 𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘯 𝘯𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘩 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘰𝘶𝘵𝘩, 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘧𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘢 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦. 𝘏𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳, 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘥𝘺 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘺𝘦𝘵," 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘳 𝘥𝘦𝘱𝘶𝘵𝘺 𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦 𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘰𝘧 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥.
𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘶𝘯𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘯𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘪𝘵 𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘦𝘴 𝘢 𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘷𝘢𝘭 𝘰𝘧 𝘞𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯 𝘸𝘦𝘢𝘱𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦 𝘯𝘶𝘮𝘣𝘦𝘳 𝘰𝘧 𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘥𝘪𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘈𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘥 𝘍𝘰𝘳𝘤𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 "𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘯𝘰 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 2-3 𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘬𝘴." 𝘐𝘯 𝘢𝘥𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯, 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘢 𝘴𝘶𝘤𝘤𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘧𝘶𝘭 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦, 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦 𝘯𝘦𝘦𝘥𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘢 4-𝘧𝘰𝘭𝘥 𝘯𝘶𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘙𝘶𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘢. 𝘈𝘤𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘚𝘬𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘬, 𝘒𝘺𝘪𝘷 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘣𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘢𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘦𝘷𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘦.
𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦, 𝘪𝘯 𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘰𝘯, "𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦." "𝘐𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘦𝘤𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘢𝘳𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘥 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘬𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘗𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘯 𝘸𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘴," 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘳 𝘨𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘥𝘦𝘥.
Russia advancing much further is out of the question but Ukraine actually winning outright via offensive is also unlikely. That is both sides are used up pretty bad. We focus here at the chronicles a lot on Russias screw ups, shortcomings and the Moscow shit show but lets not overlook that Ukraine has also been mauled. They should have been finished off in the first month or 2 of the not war but Moscow let that slip. Now we have an impasse. Remember when Rolo wrote that Vladlens murder might have been a provocation to make peace talks less likely? Well I think that's true with a slight modification to Rolos over all thesis. I think they want Putin isolated from the mood of the troops at the front and the Russian public to the point that he is more likely to hand Ukraine another victory on the cheap. Give up more without battle, dont make the Ukrainians pay too heavy, and don't stop them to quickly. Lose a lot via retreat without battle and bury Putin politically instead fight hard for every inch like the Ukrainians currently do and perhaps even bleed Ukraine to the point where they have to start negotiating.
Food for thought.
Here's a misanthropic thought, suppose the Ukraine conflict was triggered by depraved Globalists to accelerate a Multipolar World Order. It certainly has bonded the West and further expanded NATO and didn't it throw Russia into the arms of China creating a powerful Eurasian alliance. So in effect, multipolar hegemony is what the Grubbies really want as "regional" technocratic biosecurity hegemonic governance is much more effective at controlling billions of proles. Especially, when AI technology causes most repetitive tasks to become obsolete and all that remains are "usless" hungry rabble.
I read nKorea wants to send 50,000 troops.
Yep, Rome beat down Athens because Greece ran out of people.
Much has happened over the past year. Your pessimism is not supported by the facts on the ground nor by the larger geopolitical moves world wide. The same arguments you cite decrying Russia's position are much more applicable to the hopeless and hapless approach of a suicidal Ukraine.
Is this what Russia really needs, and should it thank it's liberal rulers?
https://korybko.substack.com/p/more-indian-immigration-to-russia
'Russian Ambassador to India Denis Alipov told the Russian-Indian Business Forum on Wednesday that his country wants to encourage more immigration from India, with the Economic Times reporting that he even “drew a comparison with the large population of Indian immigrants in Western nations.” Furthermore, the outlet cited unnamed sources to report that the two parties are seeking to put in place a Social Security Agreement for facilitating this.'
Forget about Ukraine and bickering with America, here's a real existential crisis. How long will it take to replace Russians with Hindus and Muslims? As fast as the 'J-ologarchs' want?:
"The prophecy is about 90% fulfilled, all we have to do is wait for the green light at this point."
You're in quite good company. That same was said about the Russians taking Kiev; the Russians taking Kkarkov; General Winter leading a Russian offensive in the fall of 22; the Russians taking Bakhmut; the Russians freeing Donetsk of shelling.; and now the massive Ukrainian spring offensive.
The Ukrainians don't have any special reputation for probity, so I'll folllow the same predictor that worked out so well for all the other cases: I'll believe it when I see it.
I'll go out on the same limb as before: I think that by now everybody is so deeply dug in and consolidated that all an offensive is going to do is to increase the count of мертвый человеки that Igor Konashenko cites each day.
Rolo , what happened to our Slavic mate the great Marco Marianovic? Is he ok? Is he alive? Has he fallen ill? Do you chat with him?
I think you're a dumb borderline schizophrenic with a lot of insane beliefs, but in this analysis of the Russo-Ukrainian War, you are truly spot on. I will continue to hope that the universal god Jehovah (and his son Jesus Christ) intervenes and puts a quick end to this whole circus of an affair.
Yes, very special. 😁
RUN FORREST RUN
So when does the nasty spring mud thing begin in the Steppes?
I'm not convinced the Ukrainians really have enough offensive know-how to push all the way to the black sea in a southern offensive. Kherson was a gimme and in Kharkov they were facing off against literal police units. We have yet to see them launch a large breakthrough attempt against a prepared, decent quality force. Still might work, but I can't help but think the Ukrainian high command is getting a bit high on their own supply.
Thanks, feel safely ensconced here.