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Archangel's avatar

I finally managed to get some reliable information on Syria from my usual Christian and liberal sources.

Rurik is right. The Assad and Mahlouf families spent 7 years looting the country and stashing money abroad. They did not share and became hated by everyone in Syria.

In particular the Syrian Army has not been paid for months and received only partial pay in the past years. That includes the Alawi and Druze units. Assad did not even bother to pay the regular wages to his best supporters ! The intelligence services were paid but could not share the loot. So no-one was to fight for Assad. He relied on Iran and the Hezbollah entirely. Even after the Hezbollah was mauled by Israel, Assad did not bother to pay his troops. A true xenocrat.

Russia pushed Assad to negotiate with Turkey but he refused. Then Russia negotiated with Turkey for its own interests. Russia stands to lose the bases in Syria but shall receive bases in the Lybia, most likely in Tobruk. Turkey stops supporting the government in Tripoli and allows Haftar with Russian support to win and rule Lybia; Haftar is also backed by Italy. Russia evacuated most personnel from the Syrian bases ahead of the attack. The Islamists that came in their vicinity are not allowed to attack Russians.

Turkey will conquer either directly or indirectly the northern part of Syria that borders them. Turks want to expel the Kurds and resettle the Syrian refugees there. That buffer zone under Turkish control will prevent Syrian Kurds from helping the Kurds in Turkey should they revolt again.

The two groups that are in focus are the HTC with 30'000 men and the Syrian National Army (SNA) with 50'000 men. HTC is financed by Qatar and run by a Saudi. The SNA is financed and equipped by Turkey. Both are under the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood and under the supervision of the MI5 and CIA. The MI5 recruited Jolani and set the HTC, formerly Al Nusra.

Everyone is happy that Assad is gone. That includes the Druze, the Alawi, and the Christians. The Christians have been allowed to reopen churches and worship in Idlib in the summer. It is believed that Russia asked the HTC to stop persecuting them as a condition for allowing Assad to fall.

Most of the Assad's army still stands. Some units have vanished, men and equipment. But most divisions are intact and stay put. Some troops, some intelligence officers, and some Baathists have moved east to the Kurds and are believed to join them. After all, they are nationalists with a socialist bend and have refused to fight each other.

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Dan Liviu's avatar

Absolutely yes, Putin and Russia are too moralitarian, even if an Uzbek offs Vladimir Vladimirovich, all we would get is Zakharova whining on Telegram and some empty warehouses blown to smithereens by Mr. Kinzhal to pepe shitscobar's intellectual jerkoff orgasm on twitter

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