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Congrats, you'on Makow website today, for your last article on Strelkov.

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Hi Rurik,

A follow-up to my post under

https://slavlandchronicles.substack.com/p/bloomberg-the-peace-deal-with-russia

Russia must have broad agreement with the USA, UK, Israel about what are the acceptable targets in Ukraine. There must be some reciprocity from Ukraine.

The assassinations that you reported on must have been within the limits, if not tacitly approved by the FSB. How come that they were able to find out the assassin and the probable timeline within a few hours. An analysis from scratch requires days ! Similarly industrial infrastructure is off-limits. Electrical substations were not until someone, USA or Israel, intervened; Russia must have received something in exchange though outsiders do not know.

The not-war is obviously managed. I surmise that Russia does not mobilise a second time because it hopes that changes in the USA and Israel will enable negotiations where they can obtain a good deal. Israel has a serious war in Gaza that is destabilising enough for them. USA has more fights than it can handle: 1. Ukraine. 2. Houthi attacks in the Red Sea. 3. Venezuela is preparing to attack Guyana and threatens American oil companies. 4. A poorly rigged presidential election may add internal destabilisation to the menu. All the while the USA must keep a significant deterrent in Taiwan.

Russia's position has strengthened in the past months and may continue strengthening. A second mobilisation would increase the pressure. The attack and capture of Harkov are a distinct possibility to push the balance in Russia's favour. The situation is better than you think, though the battlefield has nothing to do with this.

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I have just read that a drone attack killed 3 American soldiers in Jordan. Attack by some mysterious group in Syria or Irak. The USA have more military engagements than they can handle. That makes peace in Ukraine more likely since they need to handle other conflicts.

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