Theoretical: Why Not Bomb the Concrete Factories in Ukraine?
Practical: it is a question of will, not logistics.
Oleg Tsarev, a once Kremlin-critical Crimean politician who narrowly escaped an assassination on his way home from Moscow, decided to say something interesting again. He had been keeping very quiet ever since that fateful day.
This is the first tepid criticism in the form of an open-ended question that he has voiced since really. From his Telegram:
The Washington Post and others write that Ukraine is moving to a defensive strategy and is not planning any offensive operations in 2024. All efforts will be aimed at building a defense line.
I talk with the military. They share observations about how Kherson is being made into a fortress city before their eyes. Concrete trucks are constantly arriving, they don’t spare concrete, they pour out new fortifications. I found out where concrete is delivered from - mainly from the Nikolaev region. Sometimes from Odessa.
The situation is the same on all other fronts. The AFUs dig into the ground and are heavily concreted.
Obviously, such a grandiose construction requires a lot of concrete, and concrete requires a lot of cement. Cement plants are complex, expensive to manufacture and construct, and energy-intensive. In Ukraine they can be counted on one hand. In conditions of trench warfare, having your own cement in the required quantities becomes of utmost importance. If these plants are taken out of service, this will seriously complicate the possibility of constructing protective structures for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The list of factories and their addresses is publicly available, you can see here. (https://ua.orgpage.ru/ukraina/%D1%86%D0%B5%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B5_% D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B4%D1%8B/)
If you let the AFU dig in properly, it will be very difficult to pick them out.
In short, he is asking, “why are we targeting Soviet-era sardine factories and balalaika-warehouses when we could be hitting important infrastructure vital to the war effort?” Additionally: why is Russia hitting targets that turn the civilian population against Russians. Targeting transformers does nothing but piss people living in commiblocks off and force hospitals to switch to generators. The military runs on diesel, not Tesla batteries.
This is veering dangerously close to what Strelkov was saying before he was arrested on secret charges. He posed 39 questions, remember?
These, in particular, are similar to the question being raised by Tsarev.
Now, if the Strelkov standard is that anyone who doubts The Shoigu or who asks questions, then Tsarev is a traitor as well.
I too am a traitor for translating these mens’ posts on Telegram, by the way.
In fact, literally all the other ZAnon bloggers would love to see me thrown into an FSB dungeon or an SBU dungeon (after my deportation to Ukraine) and they don’t even have the politeness to conceal their sadistic glee at patriots being imprisoned in Russia. This is because they are clearly in thrall to dark powers that have taken over them through their extreme levels of hubris, obedience, and moralizing, which act as psychic beacons for warp-parasites to follow and then latch onto. Or, to use a no more “scientific” explanation, all fanatics are just textbook power-hungry narcissists who have found an external source of power (a rulebook they can thump) that justifies their abuse of other people.
The last time someone offered The Shoigu a suggestion (to build hangars for Russian planes), Martyanov called them a CIA asset and bayed for their blood. I covered it here:
The message from these FSB-fed clowns is clear: no well-meaning criticism of the cull and the democide of Russia allowed. Period.
Now, non-fanatics are able to observe the bizarre invulnerability of actually important vital infrastructure in Ukraine in the form of SBU buildings, bridges, depots, politicians and so on. To say nothing of the infrastructure behind Ukraine in NATO countries as well. Some go further than others in stating the obvious: Moscow is on strict orders not to hit anything important, clearly. Here:
Oleg Tsarev writes very softly. As if pushing the reader to make [his own] conclusions. As they say, those who are smart will understand. But a fool doesn’t even need to understand.
But I am a straightforward person, and I have only one question - what is this? Another stupidity or another betrayal?
Watch as they make a fortress out of the city [Kherson] and do nothing in response. When all the possibilities to do something to stop it are available?
As a result, rivers of Russian blood will pour out again.
This is how the Ukrainian Armed Forces strengthened the defense line in Donbass in a supposed era [where we are told] there will be no alternative peace agreements.
Well, what do you think?
Practical: Russia has demonstrated that it can hit targets in Ukraine despite the supposed AD, which is either depleted or not working well.
Theoretical: Russia could start hitting higher value targets.
Question: Why then doesn’t Russia start hitting these higher value targets?
Hypothesis: … there is more to this Not-War than meets the eye.
Sometimes I wonder what I am still doing writing about this Not-War.
I feel like all I do when I blog is ask uncomfortable questions that make people shift in their seats. Yes, simple questions that may have uncomfortable answers. These are the most dangerous kinds of questions I’ve found. I suppose when I get all my answers, I’ll be able to move on. God knows I’m not making any money or friends posing these questions now am I? I guess. Istill want to know what the peace treaty will look like and how many more patriots will be arrested or assassinated by Kiev and Moscow before this is over. Finally, I wonder how they will dismember Russia and which faction will make the first move to do so.
The Chechens? Gazprom PMC? Shoigu?
For the most part though, me and my beloved legion of Stalkers already have most of the answers that we seek.
We are just waiting for the rest of you casuals to catch up.
It would be a wise move to get behind the paywall already.
Congrats, you'on Makow website today, for your last article on Strelkov.
Hi Rurik,
A follow-up to my post under
https://slavlandchronicles.substack.com/p/bloomberg-the-peace-deal-with-russia
Russia must have broad agreement with the USA, UK, Israel about what are the acceptable targets in Ukraine. There must be some reciprocity from Ukraine.
The assassinations that you reported on must have been within the limits, if not tacitly approved by the FSB. How come that they were able to find out the assassin and the probable timeline within a few hours. An analysis from scratch requires days ! Similarly industrial infrastructure is off-limits. Electrical substations were not until someone, USA or Israel, intervened; Russia must have received something in exchange though outsiders do not know.
The not-war is obviously managed. I surmise that Russia does not mobilise a second time because it hopes that changes in the USA and Israel will enable negotiations where they can obtain a good deal. Israel has a serious war in Gaza that is destabilising enough for them. USA has more fights than it can handle: 1. Ukraine. 2. Houthi attacks in the Red Sea. 3. Venezuela is preparing to attack Guyana and threatens American oil companies. 4. A poorly rigged presidential election may add internal destabilisation to the menu. All the while the USA must keep a significant deterrent in Taiwan.
Russia's position has strengthened in the past months and may continue strengthening. A second mobilisation would increase the pressure. The attack and capture of Harkov are a distinct possibility to push the balance in Russia's favour. The situation is better than you think, though the battlefield has nothing to do with this.
#####
I have just read that a drone attack killed 3 American soldiers in Jordan. Attack by some mysterious group in Syria or Irak. The USA have more military engagements than they can handle. That makes peace in Ukraine more likely since they need to handle other conflicts.