Feb 9, 2023·edited Feb 9, 2023Liked by Rurik Skywalker
One of your better columns. The Duran guys finally drove me off their platform, with the 'Bakhmut is about to fall any day' reports ... for the last 6 months. Your answer to the 'fall' ... so what? is correct. Talk continues of the great 'Russian Offensive' .
I'm sure you keep it in mind, but if it is consolation, things are much more grotesque in the West. Here is what our oligarchs are up to ... in a small town (Milford) of my State of NH, the school bathrooms are open to anyone who identifies as either sex. So now, we have 12-year-old girls being terrorized on the bathroom by a boy who says he is a girl ... he is accompanied by 'furry' friends (who claim to be animals ... female, I guess), exposing themselves etc.
At least Russia is not dealing with that. And if it is in small towns in NH, it is everywhere.
By the way, 'Paths of Glory' is on my short list of the greatest films every made. Stunning performances all around, especially Kirk Douglas. The final scene of the movie is one of the most powerful I have ever seen. Kubrick at his finest ... and it was his first film.
The Duran, oh well, I sorted them out long time ago.
They only play within official narratives, to a point of straight out lying.
But given the military summary channel had started talking about destroying bridges after a year into the war. Progress hopium intermediate, while almost performing a rain dance for the anticipated "greatest Russian offensive", ever.
On the other hand, the hardcore western 5D Kremlin guys, who only see dehumanized "ukrop nazis", reason in an endless post, how and why the coming great offensive will play out, and why bridges are not necessary to be destroyed.
The Ukrainians will destroy them on retreat says the 5D wheel of fortune.
I think a kind of peace now would prove devastating to Russia, and would likely be path to a new war, I smell a Versailles approach.
When they've killed enough white guys, et al on both sides, the will divide (Balkanize) Ukraine into 2 sides...the Western side that's currently held by Russia and Crimea will go to Russia and the rest to some nefarious Western power broker...JMO...Balkanization is the name of the game these days...divide and conquer makes it easier to impose massive tyrrany
nefarious western power broker? the rest will be given to jooz!!! Chabadniks are rubbing their hands and celebrating this war which they have orchestrated. Putin is their puppet, Duma is their platform for manipulating Russia. At least thats my take on this clusterfuck.
I know many people think the Jews AKA 'jooz' are the real power behind the throne, but I believe they're just being used by the Satanic force that's really in charge, the Vatican AKA "holy Roman Empire"....that's the way it was in the Bible....Jews colluding with their Roman overlords..
Could you articulate in what way the Vatican controls the Js and the world? Like, how the priests profit from their covert world domination? And why would they do that?
That is a mammoth topic and has been covered by many well known books written over the last few centuries. All you have to do is look at the Catholic Inquisition which is even now going on under cover of war in which any people who threaten the Papacy's world domination are tortured and killed. The State of the Nation article I cited below goes into a little of it. The Catholic "church" has killed millions of Bible believing Christians who refused to bow the knee to the Pope. But they also kill anyone who gets in their way. If you pull back the curtain of most major wars you will see the hand of the Jesuitical Catholic hierarchy.
I think she does not know how tens of thousand of sabatean jews converted to christianity in 18,19th century. So Im sad to say that jews now control even the Vatican. Btw, it seems that Russian orthodox Church is no better.
If you havent heard about Maurice Pinay's "Plot Against the Church" I highly recommend it.
Whether or not the opposition that fled abroad will be allowed to return in exchange for Minsk 3 is the most interesting question. If so thats Russias long term death sentence. The current crop of non Jewish Oligarchs are on Zogs shit list regardless of how much damage they have done. Sergei Bogliaev, a Russian economist/industrialist who does good videos about the absolute state of the Russian economy has been saying that the West is looking for a new generation of Oligarchs to replace the current crop since the Navalny color revolution flopped and the current Oligarchs are aware of this. The SMO farce has just increased Zogs displeasure because they were expecting even more sabotage than what has so far been delivered. In effect the non Jewish liberal Oligarchics are suspicious now of liberal outsiders who have the same connections to Zog that they do.
If that is true than it would be in the shitlib non jewish Oligarchs interest to not let the those who fled return and since they are the most influencial people in Moscow besides the Jewish shitlibs those who fled just might not be allowed back. In that case we might see a real transition to nationalized corruption. So it really depends on how strongly Zog insists that the people they have been grooming abroad for the past year be allowed back into Russia. This might be a very major sticking point in whatever back channel negotiations are happening.
If Zogs goal is the total dismemberment of Russia, which I think it is than there is no point in freezing the conflict without a provision that their new generation of replacements be allowed back in. As bad as Russia will be bleeding in any case lets not overstate Zogs long term prospects either, especially if they need to tackle China the hard way. Russia will stagnate and decline but Zogs downward velocity is nothing to disregard.
Revolutionary instability would be just as bad for Zog as the current Oligarchs as well because any strongmen who emerges will be military or Prigozhin. I mean we all shit on Gerasimov but could the guy have done better even if he wanted to? Could have Surovikin? In a case of revolutionary instability where they can leverage their armed men to get rid of those they know sabotaged everything well they just might do that. And it goes without saying that Prigozhin would happily leverage his cut throats and convicts for power. So neither Zog or the current elite will allow that level of instability if they can ward it off. And thats means Russia has to he thrown some scraps in the negotiations and I suspect those scraps consist of not allowing the Wests new people back.
´´ If Russia is losing roughly one man for every one that they kill ----´´ Maybe you can tell us where you are getting such data?
If as you say Russia has just been pussyfooting along with this special operation (not war) for the last year, what then do you think would have happened if they had adopted more aggressive Nato style tactics and just bombed the hell out of everything and everyone in their path? <No need to worry about all those Russian speaking human shields (sorry ¨peasants¨)! Would that have put them in a better position by now, with Asia, South America, Africa? I don´t think so. The message is beginning to percolate through to the Western sheeple (even on msm america) that Russia is exercising dignity and restraint in this ´´not wanted-not started by Russia war´´
The idea that Russia's soft hand in this war is in regards to not doing strategic bombing is not accurate. Indiscriminate bombing doesn't work anyway, it just makes the populace hate you more/wastes ammunition. Doing it more wouldn't help, except in the case of the Dneipr bridges.
In any case, I'm not sure they even have the capability to do so—they don't have many bombers (123 total), and they would be very vulnerable to AA fire. We know they don't have enough missiles. Besides, the Russians have clearly been willing to pummel cities to dust in the combat zone with tube artillery.
No, Russia's soft hand in this war has been on the home front, where they simply have not taken the necessary(painful) measures to ready the Russian nation and armed forces for this war. Nor does it seem they have any clear strategic picture for what they want to achieve and how to do it. Strategically, Russia has made perhaps the most fundamental mistakes of military history—starting a war without a plan of how to win.
Why would the West/NATO want to stop, wwith time on their side? Weapons manufacturing can be geared up, Ukrainian soldiers have time to become proficient with new weapons technology, and mercenaries from Poland and Europe will be joining the Ukrainian army. At least those are the trends that I see.
If there's a time for Russia to act, it's now, but there's little sign of any urgency from Moscow, "conscription" or no.
Well put, Rolo. I take a month or so off from internet commenting (the clot shot has taken a heavy toll on family) and little has changed. The Russians keep acting like the West will play fair or come to the table if they're just serious enough and the West just keeps escalating.
I have to say that Wagner actually has a fairly sound strategy if they're using convicts to mass wave forward. The limit seems to be how large of an area in which they can operate. The Russians seem way too content to just keep matching the Ukies instead of a mass mobilization and putting an end to things.
There may be more than something brewing on the Russian side... As the more analytically minded of the 5Dists now tend to say, Russia is steadily transitioning to a war economy: increasing production lines, converting civil to weapon factories etc. Also, a second mobilization would bring their strengths close to a 1M, that is, a proper standing army. Even detractors of Russia, complete toadies to GloboHomo are saying the war is here to stay, for years at end https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4QRMcrvyQ_U
On the ground, the grapevine murmurs there be troop concentrations in Southern Donbass-Mariupol. Also, at the turn of the month there have been Ukrainian attacks towards Kreminna, which apparently have crushed against a human rock wall of four full-strength Russian divisions (15,000 men each) positioned there. 5Dists wonder these divisions may possibly constitute the spearhead of a future Russian manouevre to recapture Lyman and station again forces on the river Donetx, facing north of Sloviansk. That would be the anvil, in a siege of Sloviansk and consequent encirclement of everyone and everything Ukrainian to the East of that town: the hammer in this manoeuvre would be constituted of troops currently fighting at Bakhmut and past Soledar, who would have then to converge North-West.
To the South, the newly assembled Corp at Mariupol would attack Ugledar, and then storm Marinka and Avdivka, finally putting an end to the Ukrainian shelling of Donetsk city.
Once the Donbass is conquered, with the enemy in tatters and with the Americans hardly pressed to prop and supply them, and on the contrary, with Russia possessing a rugged, battle-tested standing army and an economy geared for war, the legitimate question the 5Dists ask is, why stop at the Donbass?
I offer the message of a free peasant who points towards hierarchy is it little wonder I am always shadow banned. Start learning by studying the Twelve Articles.
There's nothing really objectionable in the 12 articles it's just specific to a certain time and place.
Medieval Germany somehow combines feudalism with high state capacity.
Enough to actually enforce those laws, while my support for feudalism is partially predicated on a lack of state capacity to enforce social morality laws like feminism.
Interesting. I think these events, starting 5500 years ago, or something, of rounding up humans to support hierarchy, are connected. Just that event in 1525 is more pointed, outright slaughtering the peasants seeking relief from the brutality, including torturing before killing the person who put these articles to paper.
This is what the peasants are up against in my lonely view.
The planet now being awash in resources the nobility doesn't need to squeeze every drop of blood. But I think siphoning even blood is coming soon to a town near you.
One of your better columns. The Duran guys finally drove me off their platform, with the 'Bakhmut is about to fall any day' reports ... for the last 6 months. Your answer to the 'fall' ... so what? is correct. Talk continues of the great 'Russian Offensive' .
I'm sure you keep it in mind, but if it is consolation, things are much more grotesque in the West. Here is what our oligarchs are up to ... in a small town (Milford) of my State of NH, the school bathrooms are open to anyone who identifies as either sex. So now, we have 12-year-old girls being terrorized on the bathroom by a boy who says he is a girl ... he is accompanied by 'furry' friends (who claim to be animals ... female, I guess), exposing themselves etc.
At least Russia is not dealing with that. And if it is in small towns in NH, it is everywhere.
By the way, 'Paths of Glory' is on my short list of the greatest films every made. Stunning performances all around, especially Kirk Douglas. The final scene of the movie is one of the most powerful I have ever seen. Kubrick at his finest ... and it was his first film.
The Duran, oh well, I sorted them out long time ago.
They only play within official narratives, to a point of straight out lying.
But given the military summary channel had started talking about destroying bridges after a year into the war. Progress hopium intermediate, while almost performing a rain dance for the anticipated "greatest Russian offensive", ever.
On the other hand, the hardcore western 5D Kremlin guys, who only see dehumanized "ukrop nazis", reason in an endless post, how and why the coming great offensive will play out, and why bridges are not necessary to be destroyed.
The Ukrainians will destroy them on retreat says the 5D wheel of fortune.
I think a kind of peace now would prove devastating to Russia, and would likely be path to a new war, I smell a Versailles approach.
Thanks Rolo! It was nice of you to make your presence known to me.
Cheers out of Zagreb!
When they've killed enough white guys, et al on both sides, the will divide (Balkanize) Ukraine into 2 sides...the Western side that's currently held by Russia and Crimea will go to Russia and the rest to some nefarious Western power broker...JMO...Balkanization is the name of the game these days...divide and conquer makes it easier to impose massive tyrrany
nefarious western power broker? the rest will be given to jooz!!! Chabadniks are rubbing their hands and celebrating this war which they have orchestrated. Putin is their puppet, Duma is their platform for manipulating Russia. At least thats my take on this clusterfuck.
Agreed. This is all about deceiving the sleeping masses into accepting the multipolar world order and establishing Greater Israel.
https://fitzinfo.net/perestroika-deception/
https://twitter.com/DavMicRot/status/1498322121889562624
https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1623698347633549312
A nation with any sense would chase out these parasites and their sympathizers.
https://www.myjewishlearning.com/article/chabad-today/
I know many people think the Jews AKA 'jooz' are the real power behind the throne, but I believe they're just being used by the Satanic force that's really in charge, the Vatican AKA "holy Roman Empire"....that's the way it was in the Bible....Jews colluding with their Roman overlords..
Could you articulate in what way the Vatican controls the Js and the world? Like, how the priests profit from their covert world domination? And why would they do that?
That is a mammoth topic and has been covered by many well known books written over the last few centuries. All you have to do is look at the Catholic Inquisition which is even now going on under cover of war in which any people who threaten the Papacy's world domination are tortured and killed. The State of the Nation article I cited below goes into a little of it. The Catholic "church" has killed millions of Bible believing Christians who refused to bow the knee to the Pope. But they also kill anyone who gets in their way. If you pull back the curtain of most major wars you will see the hand of the Jesuitical Catholic hierarchy.
What does this Papacy world domination substantiates to? How many divisions the Pope control? Tanks? Airplanes?
I think she does not know how tens of thousand of sabatean jews converted to christianity in 18,19th century. So Im sad to say that jews now control even the Vatican. Btw, it seems that Russian orthodox Church is no better.
If you havent heard about Maurice Pinay's "Plot Against the Church" I highly recommend it.
https://legiochristi.com/static/lit/Pinay_Maurice_-_The_plot_against_the_Church.pdf
https://legiochristi.com/static/lit/Pinay_Maurice_-_The_plot_against_the_Church.pdf
Whether or not the opposition that fled abroad will be allowed to return in exchange for Minsk 3 is the most interesting question. If so thats Russias long term death sentence. The current crop of non Jewish Oligarchs are on Zogs shit list regardless of how much damage they have done. Sergei Bogliaev, a Russian economist/industrialist who does good videos about the absolute state of the Russian economy has been saying that the West is looking for a new generation of Oligarchs to replace the current crop since the Navalny color revolution flopped and the current Oligarchs are aware of this. The SMO farce has just increased Zogs displeasure because they were expecting even more sabotage than what has so far been delivered. In effect the non Jewish liberal Oligarchics are suspicious now of liberal outsiders who have the same connections to Zog that they do.
If that is true than it would be in the shitlib non jewish Oligarchs interest to not let the those who fled return and since they are the most influencial people in Moscow besides the Jewish shitlibs those who fled just might not be allowed back. In that case we might see a real transition to nationalized corruption. So it really depends on how strongly Zog insists that the people they have been grooming abroad for the past year be allowed back into Russia. This might be a very major sticking point in whatever back channel negotiations are happening.
If Zogs goal is the total dismemberment of Russia, which I think it is than there is no point in freezing the conflict without a provision that their new generation of replacements be allowed back in. As bad as Russia will be bleeding in any case lets not overstate Zogs long term prospects either, especially if they need to tackle China the hard way. Russia will stagnate and decline but Zogs downward velocity is nothing to disregard.
Revolutionary instability would be just as bad for Zog as the current Oligarchs as well because any strongmen who emerges will be military or Prigozhin. I mean we all shit on Gerasimov but could the guy have done better even if he wanted to? Could have Surovikin? In a case of revolutionary instability where they can leverage their armed men to get rid of those they know sabotaged everything well they just might do that. And it goes without saying that Prigozhin would happily leverage his cut throats and convicts for power. So neither Zog or the current elite will allow that level of instability if they can ward it off. And thats means Russia has to he thrown some scraps in the negotiations and I suspect those scraps consist of not allowing the Wests new people back.
´´ If Russia is losing roughly one man for every one that they kill ----´´ Maybe you can tell us where you are getting such data?
If as you say Russia has just been pussyfooting along with this special operation (not war) for the last year, what then do you think would have happened if they had adopted more aggressive Nato style tactics and just bombed the hell out of everything and everyone in their path? <No need to worry about all those Russian speaking human shields (sorry ¨peasants¨)! Would that have put them in a better position by now, with Asia, South America, Africa? I don´t think so. The message is beginning to percolate through to the Western sheeple (even on msm america) that Russia is exercising dignity and restraint in this ´´not wanted-not started by Russia war´´
The idea that Russia's soft hand in this war is in regards to not doing strategic bombing is not accurate. Indiscriminate bombing doesn't work anyway, it just makes the populace hate you more/wastes ammunition. Doing it more wouldn't help, except in the case of the Dneipr bridges.
In any case, I'm not sure they even have the capability to do so—they don't have many bombers (123 total), and they would be very vulnerable to AA fire. We know they don't have enough missiles. Besides, the Russians have clearly been willing to pummel cities to dust in the combat zone with tube artillery.
No, Russia's soft hand in this war has been on the home front, where they simply have not taken the necessary(painful) measures to ready the Russian nation and armed forces for this war. Nor does it seem they have any clear strategic picture for what they want to achieve and how to do it. Strategically, Russia has made perhaps the most fundamental mistakes of military history—starting a war without a plan of how to win.
Why would the West/NATO want to stop, wwith time on their side? Weapons manufacturing can be geared up, Ukrainian soldiers have time to become proficient with new weapons technology, and mercenaries from Poland and Europe will be joining the Ukrainian army. At least those are the trends that I see.
If there's a time for Russia to act, it's now, but there's little sign of any urgency from Moscow, "conscription" or no.
Well put, Rolo. I take a month or so off from internet commenting (the clot shot has taken a heavy toll on family) and little has changed. The Russians keep acting like the West will play fair or come to the table if they're just serious enough and the West just keeps escalating.
I have to say that Wagner actually has a fairly sound strategy if they're using convicts to mass wave forward. The limit seems to be how large of an area in which they can operate. The Russians seem way too content to just keep matching the Ukies instead of a mass mobilization and putting an end to things.
Rolo, is there a way to DM you ever?
There may be more than something brewing on the Russian side... As the more analytically minded of the 5Dists now tend to say, Russia is steadily transitioning to a war economy: increasing production lines, converting civil to weapon factories etc. Also, a second mobilization would bring their strengths close to a 1M, that is, a proper standing army. Even detractors of Russia, complete toadies to GloboHomo are saying the war is here to stay, for years at end https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4QRMcrvyQ_U
On the ground, the grapevine murmurs there be troop concentrations in Southern Donbass-Mariupol. Also, at the turn of the month there have been Ukrainian attacks towards Kreminna, which apparently have crushed against a human rock wall of four full-strength Russian divisions (15,000 men each) positioned there. 5Dists wonder these divisions may possibly constitute the spearhead of a future Russian manouevre to recapture Lyman and station again forces on the river Donetx, facing north of Sloviansk. That would be the anvil, in a siege of Sloviansk and consequent encirclement of everyone and everything Ukrainian to the East of that town: the hammer in this manoeuvre would be constituted of troops currently fighting at Bakhmut and past Soledar, who would have then to converge North-West.
To the South, the newly assembled Corp at Mariupol would attack Ugledar, and then storm Marinka and Avdivka, finally putting an end to the Ukrainian shelling of Donetsk city.
Once the Donbass is conquered, with the enemy in tatters and with the Americans hardly pressed to prop and supply them, and on the contrary, with Russia possessing a rugged, battle-tested standing army and an economy geared for war, the legitimate question the 5Dists ask is, why stop at the Donbass?
Prigozhin enjoys being a blowhard here https://odysee.com/@Velyaminov:a/Last-night,-Wagner-Chief-Yevgeny-Prigozhin-made-a-sortie-as-the-navigator-of-the-Su-24-of-the-Wagner-PMC:4 but substantially confirms, at the end of the video, they want to get to the Dniepr.
http://stateofthenation.co/?p=156805
Liberal opposition strengthened by widespread misery & feelings of defat.
Near-abroad assets among Tajik migrants & Kazakhs activated.
Wealth flows upward in a demoralized society seeking stability.
Ukraine continues shelling Donbass amidst weak cries of 'ceasefire violation'.
Indo-Pak scenario.
---
Worst-case scenario is actually Putin replaced by a less popular/powerful right-leaning leader.
Popularity is appeal among the mass - Power is appeal among the middle class & up.
The new leader does things for Russians, but squabbles give room for Sino-American meddling.
Ethnic separatists gain new funding even if no chance of success.
---
Not my prediction, just going off what you said.
A left-leaning leader would just turn Russia into the West:
The Russian peasantry is looted to feed the middle class & ethnic minorities.
Consider that peasants are free, all others being rewarded for their obedience.
Sounds like a cope.
Not sure why I didn't get notified of your response.
I offer the message of a free peasant who points towards hierarchy is it little wonder I am always shadow banned. Start learning by studying the Twelve Articles.
There's nothing really objectionable in the 12 articles it's just specific to a certain time and place.
Medieval Germany somehow combines feudalism with high state capacity.
Enough to actually enforce those laws, while my support for feudalism is partially predicated on a lack of state capacity to enforce social morality laws like feminism.
Interesting. I think these events, starting 5500 years ago, or something, of rounding up humans to support hierarchy, are connected. Just that event in 1525 is more pointed, outright slaughtering the peasants seeking relief from the brutality, including torturing before killing the person who put these articles to paper.
This is what the peasants are up against in my lonely view.
The planet now being awash in resources the nobility doesn't need to squeeze every drop of blood. But I think siphoning even blood is coming soon to a town near you.
Very interesting. Good analysis. Thank you.