27 Comments

"But I suppose I’ll need to do a deep dive on China-Russia relations to really prove my point."

Finally!!!!!

Bring it.

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"China and Russia are not allies. I’ve tried to explain many times on this blog that Russia and China are rivals, not friends. That most of the news about China helping Russia fight the West are nothing more than fake news."

Yep, China wants to keep Russia "in the fight", not win the war. If Russia wins the war, then China, if it tries to take the Far East (because that's where the oil and natural gas that China needs are), it will get stopped. As long as Russia is expending troops and materiel in Ukraine - and it's obvious they're running out of both, having to trade oil for North Korean mercenaries now that Kadyrov seems to have lost interest in helping out - and having to use really inappropriate and expensive IRBM tech which would indicate that it has drawn down its conventional missile stocks, among other things. So it's probably a matter of time before China decides to cross the Rubicon again, so to speak:

"Mao engineered a fierce conflict with the Soviet Union along the border in the Soviet and Chinese Siberia region in early March 1969, which escalated to a series of intermittent skirmishes for more than half a year. Mao had three purposes in mind. First, he wanted to exploit the opportunity of the Soviet Union’s weakened position and tarnished reputation after the suppression of the Prague Spring, in order to regain China’s lost ideological reputation within the world communist movement. A border fight with the Soviet Union would greatly enhance his reputation. Secondly, Mao was in the midst of a national military mobilization to fulfill his strategic vision of a “Protracted People’s War.” He would use semi-regular military personnel, such as armed militia and border guards, in a real battle situation to beef up his “Every Citizen a Soldier” call to arms. Third, Mao was preparing for a landmark 9th Party Congress scheduled to take place in early April 1969 to exalt his Cultural Revolution triumphs and delegate his chosen heirs in waiting, notably his wife Jiang Qing and Marshal Lin Biao. He needed a military victory over a major adversary to hype and glorify his political maneuvers.

On March 2, 1969, on a seasonal sandy island––which China calls Zhenbao and Russia calls Damansky in the middle of the Ussuri river demarcating the Soviet-Chinese border in the northeastern Chinese province of Helongjiang––a Soviet military team was ambushed by a waiting Chinese border patrol unit, killing over a dozen Soviet Red Army soldiers. In the ensuing two weeks, hundreds of Chinese and Soviet troops conducted back-and-forth fights for the control of Zhenbao (Damansky) island, with tens of thousands of artillery rounds being fired upon each other, resulting in the deaths of about 70 soldiers on each side, and hundreds wounded. The most notable action took place after the ceasefire on March 17. On March 21, the Soviets attempted to retrieve a submerged T-62 main battle tank on the island, only to meet concentrated Chinese shelling, after which Chinese divers pulled the T-62 tank, the most advanced main battle tank of the USSR at the time, from the river. China would reverse engineer it to become the Chinese Type 69 main battle tank. The original captured Soviet T-62 tank is still on display at the Chinese People’s Revolutionary Military Museum in Beijing.

After Mao showcased the Zhenbao island battle heroes during the April CCP 9th Party Congress, China became more belligerent toward the Soviets, who were equally riled up by Mao’s brazenness. Four months later, China and the USSR fought another series of small but dangerously escalating battles along their thousand-plus-mile-long border in China’s northwestern Uyghur region of Xinjiang. Since Mao’s murderous Great Famine of the Great Leap Forward, ethnic Uyghurs and Kazaks living inside Xinjiang had made dangerous exoduses crossing the border into the Soviet Union, outraging the CCP. In August 1969, Chinese and Soviet troops in Xinjiang conducted violent scuffles and fierce gunfights in places such as Tasiti, Bacha Dao, and Tielieketi, killing several dozen soldiers on each side. The Soviet leadership was so incensed by this series of new Chinese provocations that Moscow was seriously considering a nuclear strike against China, which had also developed its own nuclear weapons since 1964." https://www.hoover.org/research/1969-sino-soviet-border-conflicts-key-turning-point-cold-war

Only this time, the Chinese PLA will not be facing the Red Army of the Soviet Union, it will be facing a much weakened Russian Army which has shown itself as being incapable of breaking a stalemate in Eastern Ukraine after nearly two and a half years of fighting, and is very slowly removing the Ukrainian invasion of its own territory - if in fact it is able to push the incursion back across the border. And if China makes a move, it is very unlikely that Russia will be able to depend on North Korean assistance... The quicker Putin is able to wind up the failed SMO in Ukraine, the better for Russia

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Its an interesting scenario, if Putin does not submit then the west might even give the green light and support a Chinese invasion of Russia to force the Russians to back down in Ukraine. China needs the western markets more then anything to stay economically relevant. Trump might even use threats of closing the western market in order to push China in the right direction. Putin will be powerless to win in a 2 front war.

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> That most of the news about China helping Russia fight the West are nothing more than fake news. But I suppose I’ll need to do a deep dive on China-Russia relations to really prove my point.

Yes, I think that will help dismantle that fakery.

One of the visitors here already asked about it - as in why oh why is China not stepping up for Russia - and I responded [1], but Rolo can do a much better job.

[1] Comment under Trump Will Probably Send Tactical Nukes Over to Kiev

https://slavlandchronicles.substack.com/p/trump-will-probably-send-tactical/comments#comment-78863709

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Good comment in the link, all correct.

In addition, I'd say that Chinese are naturally a very self-centered and timid people who totally lack the capacity for understanding other cultures. They prefer to expand organically via trade links, rather than overextending themselves by playing politics, for which they have neither the taste nor the aptitude.

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Did you all notice China has been awefully quiet during Putin's SMO? Its like they don't know themselves which sides to back. They are confused and probably feel very threatened now that Trump is in office. I think the Jews have decided that they will continue to use the west instead of them using China as the succesor.

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Looks like Putin is a big fan of Catch-22 - I'll bet that some proportion of those bombs were bought with some of the billions of dollars that Putin - via Gazprom - pays Zelenskyy for the transit rights on that Gazprom pipeline... See: "Milo Minderbinder - Milo is masterful but corrupt, parlaying his position as mess officer (in charge of the dining hall) into personal direction of M & M Enterprises, controlling all sorts of goods and services, from fresh eggs to prostitutes. Before long, his business is international; planes arrive daily from such markets as Liberia, London, and Karachi. He deals with everyone except the Russians, eschewing their trade because they are Communists. Nonetheless, he has no problem doing business with America's primary European enemy, Nazi Germany. Milo even profits from specific battles. When the Allies plan to bomb a highway bridge at Orvieto, Milo arranges to conduct the attack for them. But he also agrees with the Germans to defend the same bridge with antiaircraft fire, bargaining for cost plus six percent from each side, plus a "merit bonus" of $1,000 from the Germans for each plane shot down. Having arranged all the details, Milo has no trouble convincing both sides to furnish their own men and equipment. He thus makes a nice profit by signing his name twice. This is the raid on which Mudd, the "dead man" in Yossarian's tent, is killed. Even more despicable than the Orvieto deal is Milo's arrangement with the Germans to bomb his own squadron when the syndicate's cash flow runs low, due to excessive investment in Egyptian cotton. This time it appears that Milo may have gone too far. Newspapers and politicians back home denounce the attack on American airmen. Heller's satire is especially biting as he points out that all is forgiven after Milo demonstrates that the raid turned a healthy profit. Milo concludes that all wars should be conducted by private enterprise — so long as the governments pick up the expenses. For Milo, the chief business of the American people should be business: his business. A contract is a contract — so long as it favors Milo. Milo likes to say that everyone owns a share of M & M Enterprises, but Milo seems to take most of the profits." https://www.cliffsnotes.com/literature/c/catch22/character-analysis/milo-minderbinder

See, it's 5D chess - the Plan is working...

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Rolo, are you planing to do a deep dive on the current patriotic forces in Russia that can free the country, process Putin, and clean that political septic tank called Kremlin?

I'm guessing one of them are patriotic generals in the Russian Army, you mention Kremlin fears and hates very much? Anyone else?

Deep dive is needed for that topic. I do not believe anyone has tackled it. Any Russian authors/experts that did?

Thank you in advance.

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There are none that I know of. But I think Putin is using this war to purge some of the more Communist-minded types from the military perhaps under the guise of anti-corruption. The only problem is that they really are all corrupt. But that has never bothered putin before. There have been like 20? major firings so far.

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> There are none that I know of.

Not very happy to hear that.

I'm assuming that people's uprising is a silly notion in a country where everything has been gutted and where 10s of thousands of Muslims can march through Moscow and pray. When was the last time real Russian patriots took to the streets and protested country's occupation?

I'm also guessing that if Putin is gone due to natural causes nothing will change as they will just put another puppet in his place? He's just a front man for the deep state / oligarchs and can be removed, just like Stalin was.

Thoughts?

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chances are that infighting between different factions will ensue if putin, the glue holding it together, is removed it all comes apart.

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Or they simply put in Medvedev,if Putin dies. Mr the west will face Armageddon if the west attacks Crimea (Medvedev) will sure be aproved as a fitting candidate by the evil anglo saxons.

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"Washington urging Ukrainian Officials to draft 18-25 Year Olds" - AP (27/11)

They are actually blood sacrificing an entire race

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That's fucking Dark

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Welcome to the theater, Please take a seat.

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The amazing logical leaps of Zanon 5diots !

Zanon defense as to why the SMO is going so inexplicably slow:

Answer 2022: Russia is not yet ready to face NATO and needs more time to prepare.

Answer 2023: Russia doesnt want to provoke the US into action so it must tread carefully.

Answer, first part of 2024: Russia is taking its time to eliminate as many UkoNazees as possible, a glorious , well thought out war of one sided attrition !!!

Answer, last part of 2024: Putin is purposely slow walking the war till Trump gets in power.

More contradictory answers coming in 2025 I'm sure.

Honk Honk !

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I'm sorry to offer a crudity after such an elegant and detailed analysis:

The WEF++ would never have launched their entire programme without being certain all the ducks were lined up.

Vladimir, Young Global Leader.

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They dont even need to invade Belarus, Lukashenko already knows Putin is a loser. Last time i looked Luka was even interested on being on more friendly terms with Ukraine. But he will just stay neutral now for the time being.

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Another great geopolitical victory of Putin's

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Yep, Luka was actually very postive and excited at the start of the SMO like many of us. But then after all the mistakes,stupid backroom deals and massive Russian losses knew the SMO was lost.

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When the SMO turned into the SNO (special needs op)

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It's amazing how far apart Luka and Putin really are. The Western view sees them as bros forever, which is such an oversimplification that it has almost no predictive value at all.

I hope Luka can keep Belarus out of trouble. The world is becoming so bland and homogenous that I really appreciate little bubbles of heterogeneity.

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More proof of the theater. Germany supplies troops and weapons to kill Russians. Putin talks about honoring deals and cooperation. Waka Waka

" The issue of Nord Stream is once again in the spotlight: the Washington Post reported on Friday that “an American businessman is seeking to acquire the Swiss company that controls Russia’s Nord Stream 2.” The timing is quite interesting: one may remember that on November 15 German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called President Vladimir Putin (first time in two years), they talked for an hour, and Putin reportedly said that Russia has “always honoured” energy sector contracts and would still be “willing” to promote mutual cooperation, if Germany is interested. "

https://southfront.press/will-nord-stream-2-be-reactivated-pro-trump-businessman-trying-to-buy-it-while-scholz-and-putin-talks/

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So you want Putin to get tough? No you don't.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOFIrbiTtbo

There is no hope

- PCR

I have to think tunnelling nanotubes are a factor.

Post truth about to meet reality.

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https://x.com/Alex_Oloyede2/status/1861555741389131840

Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺

@Alex_Oloyede2

‼️BREAKING:

🇷🇺☢️ The Russian MoD has ordered the Airspace over Nuclear ICBM launch sites in Kapustin Yar be closed till Nov 30th.

Something huge is coming and I can't guarantee if it's nuclear or conventional. The president reserves the rights to make such decisions.

12:40 PM · Nov 27, 2024

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